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Copenhagen v Man City
Another weekend, another Man City masterclass. The Cityzens saw off Southampton with relative ease in a 4-0 win at the Etihad, meaning they’ve now scored nine goals without reply across their last two outings after a 5-0 win over Copenhagen themselves last week.
The only slight saving grace for the Danish side is that they’ll be playing at home on this occasion, and while City started the season slightly less convincingly on the road with a W1-D2 record, they’ve won successive away games against Sevilla (4-0) and Wolves (3-0) now.
Copenhagen have just one win across their last seven outings across all competitions, though at home they’re unbeaten in five games now, conceding just once in four, a run which includes a 0-0 against a tough Sevilla side.
While Copenhagen haven’t scored in any of their last six outings against English opposition, they’ve still managed to draw three 0-0, with the others being a 1-0 defeat to Man United and last week’s 5-0 thrashing at the Etihad. They’re not as easy to overturn on home soil, and while we’d expect City to have too much quality, there’s a chance Erling Haaland is rested for the weekend and we’re happy to roll the dice and back the hosts to keep this one relatively close.
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AC Milan v Chelsea
Chelsea are looking a much more composed outfit in the early stages of Graham Potter’s reign. After a shaky 2-1 win over Crystal Palace, they’ve recorded successive 3-0 victories over Milan and Wolves as confidence looks high heading into this one.
Milan weren’t at the races at Stamford Bridge last week, though they’ll know the significance of getting a result here in the outcome of the group, and we’d expect them to be more in control at the San Siro. They’ve won five of their six matches at home this year, including wins over rivals Inter Milan and Juventus as recently as last weekend.
The Italian side are now winless in eight matches against English sides (D1-L7), while they’ve also lost six of their last seven home matches against such sides going back to 2008. However, Chelsea are winless in Italy over seven matches now, going back to a 4-0 win over Lazio in 2003, including five successive defeats now.
While the result is up in the air, we’d expect this one to have goals. Chelsea have seen over 2.5 goals land in their last three games under Potter, while Milan have seen the same outcome in four of their six home matches this season, and even their 2-0 win over Juventus at the weekend saw Rafael Leao hit the upright twice as the hosts proved wasteful in spite of victory.
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Celtic v Leipzig
A second half Andre Silva brace was enough to see off Celtic in last week’s reverse fixture and earn Leipzig their first points of the group, though they’ll need to claim maximum points again here to really mount a challenge for qualification, though that’s easier said than done at Celtic Park.
Celtic bounced back from that 3-1 defeat with a 2-1 win over St Johnstone at the weekend, though that was the least that was expected of them and this is far more of a challenge. The only game they’ve dropped points in here this season was against Real Madrid, and even then they held them out for nearly an hour, and Leipzig’s struggles on the road are evident. Excluding a thumping of Teutonia Ottensen in the cup, Leipzig are winless on the road this year losing four of their last five and scoring just once across their last four.
While they are a stronger side than Celtic, we’d expect the home advantage to count for quite a bit here. While German outfits have done quite well here, winning four of their last five outings at Celtic Park, the exception came four years ago when Leipzig themselves lost 2-1 here in the Europa League groups, and the home handicap looks worth siding with considering.
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