One of the strongest fields the European Tour has seen this year has Viktor Hovland coming in as favourite over defending champion Tyrrell Hatton. The Englishman had a blistering start to the year winning in Abu Dhabi in the opening event, though he has been rather disappointing on the whole since then, achieving just three top-15 finishes from his 16 subsequent events, while he’s now missed three of his last five cuts so it’s difficult to get behind him here at such a short price. With the stage set at the stunning Wentworth Golf Club matched by a top-class field, check out our preview and predictions for what should be a thrilling four days of golf. 

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BMW PGA Championship Contenders

Wentworth plays at just under 7,300 yards and is a tree-lined, second shot par-72. It tends to be quite a forgiving course if the winds stay away and that certainly lends itself to a strong low scoring weekend ahead.

Viktor Hovland

Hovland is a slightly more justified market leader than Hatton, however. He would have finished fourth at the Tour Championships last weekend should starting strokes have not been implemented, while he also finished 11th on his first and only visit to Wentworth a couple of years back. 

His European Tour form reads 3-6-1-12, the most recent of which came at the Open, and he certainly looks to be the one to beat here. 

This is very much a second shot and scrambling course, so dialled in irons are a must unless your work around the greens is where you excel, and Hovland led the field at East Lake in Shots Gained: Approach, so he certainly has the credentials, and a win would be phenomenal for confidence heading into the Ryder Cup.

Shane Lowry and Matt Fitzpatrick

Shane Lowry and Matt Fitzpatrick follow on in the betting, though the Irishman has won just twice on this tour since the Portugal Open in October 2012, the most recent of which came at the Open in 2019 and he’s not managed a top-10 in any of his 15 subsequent events. 

Fitzpatrick is still looking for his first win this season, and while he began strongly with an MC-17-5-11-10-9 record at the beginning of the year, his last three events read 57-MC-MC and he doesn’t quite justify his price on that basis.

Guido Migliozzi

One that stands out further down the list is young Italian Guido Migliozzi. Good scramblers have tended to go very well here in the past, with each of the last four winners ranking in the top eight (Noren was 4th in 2017, while Molinari and Hatton both led the field for scrambling in 2018 and 2020, respectively). 

Migliozzi has been exceptional around the greens of late, leading the field at the Olympics where it was primarily his putter that let him down on some unfamiliar greens, and he ranked eighth for scrambling just two weeks ago in a seventh-placed finish in the European Masters. 

A second place in the British Masters was largely down to his work around the greens, too, having ranked second in that regard and a similar showing here will make his price look far too long.

Alex Noren

The other that really tempts, albeit at a much shorter price than Migliozzi, is Alex Noren. The cream tends to rise to the top at Wentworth and a player of Noren’s calibre and experience will tend to go very well around here. 

He’s proven that already and has a phenomenal course pedigree, winning here in 2017 and following that up with a third-placed finish on defence. 

His form looked very shaky over the last couple of seasons, though the Swede is beginning to show some good signs of returning back to his best form. 

He finished fourth at the Rocket Mortgage Classic at the beginning of July, where he scrambled phenomenally, and it was his work around the greens again which kept him in contention at the Olympics in Japan. 

Back-to-back top-10 finishes in the FedEx Cup playoffs were unfortunately not enough to see him qualify for the top-30, though he was playing out of his skin there in events that he has always tended to do well in, and if that’s the trend, there’s little reason he can’t come up trumps this weekend.

PREDICTIONS:

VIKTOR HOVLAND

ALEX NOREN

GUIDO MIGLIOZZI

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The final event of the year in the Men’s calendar sees the top-30 in the FedEx Cup rankings lock horns for the $15m purse. The starting strokes system is now entering its third year, as those players with the most FedEx Cup points being rewarded with a head start this weekend. Check out our comprehensive preview and predictions for the final event of the PGA Tour season.

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TOUR Championship Starting Strokes

10 under - Patrick Cantlay

8 under - Tony Finau

7 under - Bryson DeChambeau

6 under - Jon Rahm

5 under - Cameron Smith

4 under - Justin Thomas, Harris English, Abraham Ancer, Jordan Spieth, Sam Burns

3 under - Collin Morikawa, Sungjae Im, Viktor Hovland, Louis Oosthuizen, Dustin Johnson

2 under - Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Jason Kokrak, Kevin Na, Brooks Koepka

1 under - Corey Conners, Hideki Matsuyama, Stewart Cink, Joaquin Niemann, Scottie Scheffler,

Even par - Daniel Berger, Erik van Rooyen, Sergio Garcia, Billy Horschel, Patrick Reed

Tour Championship Contenders

While two previous years isn’t the greatest sample size, it’s seemed clear that the top five in the rankings tend to go well, with the two previous winners (Rory McIlroy and Dustin Johnson) coming from that bracket of players (5th and 1st, respectively), while no one in the bottom half (-2,-1 or even par) has finished in the top four of this.

Xander Schauffele

Xander Schauffele absolutely adores this track, shooting the second lowest 72-hole score in 2019, before pushing Johnson close last year in shooting the lowest, finishing three shots off despite starting seven behind. 

He’s never finished outside the top-7 in that regard at East Lake, winning twice and looks well poised to go well again here.

It’s not been the most prolific of years for the American, although he did bring home Olympic Gold just a month ago and while performances since haven’t been up to par, a return to a course that he’s been so successful on in the past can bring out the best in him. 

Despite it not being his best season, he’s still managed 11 top-15 finishes from his 17 made cuts, including seven top-10s and five top-5s and now starting further back than he ever has done in the three years of this format, he can prove once again that he will play on the front foot and attack a course that he’s made look weak in recent years. 

The course is looking to play slightly longer than usual thanks to the weather over the last couple of days, though it shouldn’t impact Schauffele too much as he looks to gather some serious form ahead of the Ryder Cup.

Rory McIlroy

Rory McIlroy is another who goes very well here. He’s twice been a winner here and finished runner up on another occasion and it could be argued that the course is set up even better for him this time around as it’ll play longer than expected. 

McIlroy was phenomenal off the tee last week and if he can get his irons dialled in, which he’s shown signs of being better at of late, he’ll no doubt make a real push here.

He won’t be used to being this far adrift of the leaders as he sits on two under par, though that could give him the liberty to go and attack this course, and with Dustin Johnson playing alongside him for the first round at least, they can really challenge each other to go for it.

Jon Rahm

Finally, it’s Jon Rahm that looks best placed to capitalise on a strong season here. 

He’s been unlucky in some respects, twice contracting COVID-19 which has interrupted his schedule and certainly prevented him from winning more than he has done, but the US Open champion is only four shots back off Patrick Cantlay and if he were to win the purse, it’s very difficult to argue that he wouldn’t deserve it.

Cantlay proved why many call him the iceman in the BMW Championship play-off, holding putt after putt in the final round to take the title and catapult him to the top of the standings and into Steve Striker’s Ryder Cup squad. 

However, he had a tumultuous time here last year having started in second place (-8) and finishing in 21st (+1), and although he’s a more complete player now, that weekend last year is not what you want in your mind at this stage. 

Finau hasn’t exactly proven he can go on a winning run, while DeChambeau looks too hot-headed to hold his nerve as he proved last week, leaving Rahm licking his lips over his chances here. 

Furthermore, it can’t be understated what effect Sunday’s six-hole play-off will have on Cantlay and DeChambeau, so the Spaniard get the nod to cap off what will be a phenomenal season.

PREDICTIONS:

JON RAHM TO WIN

XANDER SCHAUFFELE BEST 72-HOLE SCORE

RORY MACILROY BEST 72-HOLE SCORE

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The second stop of the FedExCup Playoffs moves onto Caves Valley Golf Club in Owning Mills, Maryland for the BMW Championship. The field has slimmed down to the top 70 in FedExCup standings, and with no cut here or at the Tour Championship next week, golfers will have four rounds to make it in the top 30 for the TOUR Championship at East Lake. Check out our comprehensive preview for the penultimate PGA Tour event of the season.

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The Course

Caves Valley is essentially a new course for all these players on tour, with none of the 70 in this field having played a round here, not at this level of competition anyway. 

Conditions will undoubtedly play a factor here as always, and at over 7,500 yards, this par 72 looks to be suited to some of the bigger hitters on tour, though with no course form to go off that is a very loose assessment. 

The same was said of Kiawah Island, where Phil Mickelson became the oldest ever Major winner earlier this year, so event trends may well be the way to go here.

BMW Championship Contenders

The Fed Ex Cup playoffs naturally bring the cream to the top through its format, and there’s a strong trend to consider between the opening two events, as well as certain players who flourish under this sort of pressure.

John Rahm

Jon Rahm is certainly one of those and has proven time and time again that he’s one of the most dangerous players on tour. 

His consistency is baffling with 13 top-10 finishes on the PGA Tour this year from just 20 events, and the US champion will be kicking himself over not picking up more titles this season. 

He always comes to the fore in the Fed Ex Cup playoffs too, finishing in the top-6 in each of the last five renewals of the Northern Trust and BMW Championship. 

He faltered to a third place last weekend in the fifth of those, though that’s good foundations laid to defend the title he won at this event last year in magnificent style, beating Dustin Johnson in a playoff by sinking a 60+ foot putt for birdie. 

The Spaniard certainly won’t be far away here and will be looking the carry on the trend of top-10 Northern Trust finishers going on to win the BMW Championship having become the seventh player to do so since the inception of the Fed Ex Cup.

Tony Finau

Another who will be looking to do the same is Tony Finau. The American won his first event in 143 starts last weekend, and will be hoping titles are like London buses. 

Winning the opening two events of the playoffs certainly isn’t unheard of. Vijay Singh managed the feat in just the second year of the Fed Ex Cup, while you only have to look as far back as Bryson DeChambeau in 2018 to find the last man to do it. 

As mentioned, it could be a course for the bombers and Tony is certainly one of those. We could see a weight of his shoulders heading into this and that renewed lack of pressure may work perfectly in his favour so get Tony onside for back-to-back wins as he looks for his fifth consecutive top-10 finish here.

Justin Thomas

It’s been a couple of poor years for Justin Thomas in terms of the Fed Ex Cup, though he’s one player that has fit the trend in the opening two events with a top-10 finish at the Northern Trust in 2017 before going on to win the Dell Technologies the following week, and there’s no reason to suggest he can’t replicate that this weekend. 

The American also took this title two years ago and it’ll be surprising if he wasn’t in the hunt after a very strong fourth place finish last week.

Kevin Na

Kevin Na looks to be getting back to his best golf and at just the right time. After a torrid spell earlier in the year where he failed to make a top-10 between mid-January and mid-July, he’s gone 2nd-23rd-2nd-8th, and there’s nothing stopping him from continuing in that vein here. 

He’s played his irons and wedges exceptionally well of late and if he can find that magical touch with the putter, that could turn those place finishes into wins.

Rory McIlroy

Finally, it’s Rory McIlroy that gets our vote of confidence here. He’s shown glimpses of promise over the season, and a victory at the Wells Fargo shows that he’s still up their with the best in the business. 

Despite finishing 43rd last weekend, he again showed signs of coming back to his best and it’s in these kinds of events that we often see the best of the Northern Irishman. 

He finished 12th here last year and ninth the year before despite not showing obvious form around the event, though he’s looking poised for a big weekend at some point and this is a big opportunity for him to climb up the rankings before the starting scores come into play at the TOUR Championship next week.

PREDICTIONS: 

JON RAHM

TONY FINAU

JUSTIN THOMAS

KEVIN NA

RORY MCILROY

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The Wyndham Championship has found a place in the calendar now as the final event of the year before the FedEx Cup Playoffs begin. As a result, the world’s elite often decide to take a step back here, catch their breath and rest before they go on the run of big-money play-off events in the coming weeks. That said, there are still quite a few recognisable names that have opted to try their hand here as they either enjoy the test of Sedgefield and it suits their game, or they’re in need of some form and confidence heading into the most important stretch of the season. Form Labs guide you to where the value might lie with their betting tips for the event and take advantage of some extra value as we are paying out six places on the outright market which you can claim below.

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OUTRIGHTS HERE

The Course

Sedgefield is a classic golfing test that you can’t muscle your way around. Fairways need to be found with regularity, irons need to be dialled in to find these relatively small Bermuda greens and if that can be done, it’s effectively a putt off. 

The course shares similarities to Detroit Country Club, Harbour Town, and TPC Sawgrass, where the RBC Heritage, the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and the PLAYERS are respectively held, so it’s worth looking at who has performed there this season as form tends to lend itself well with Webb Simpson, Sergio Garcia, Davis Love III, Si-Woo Kim and Henrik Stenson having all won at TPC Sawgrass and here at Sedgefield.

Wyndham Championship Betting Tips

It’s no surprise to see Webb Simpson go off as favourite having not finished outside the top three in any of his last four visits and finishing sixth or better in six of his last seven outings here. 

His recent form leaves a little to be desired though with just one top-10 since February, though that did come at Harbour Town. 

He missed the cut at both the Players and the Rocket Mortgage, so at his price he’s worth avoiding in our opinion.

Sung-Jae Im (28/1)

Instead, we’re happy to get behind Sung-Jae Im (28/1) again after he’s showed some promise in recent weeks. We backed him at the Olympics where he played some phenomenal golf, though he was let down by a poor second round and ultimately it has been that inconsistency that has thwarted him so far this season. 

He had the fewest putts per round in Tokyo, and last week he ranked 11^th for greens in regulation at the St. Jude Invitational and was just off with his putter so if he can find some consistency with both he’ll be extremely difficult to beat. 

He ranks in the top-20 on tour for Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and in the top-15 for Driving Accuracy, so it’s no surprise that he goes well on these kinds of courses, finishing in the top-10 in both his starts here.

Despite a turbulent year, he has top-20 finishes in all three of those aforementioned events, including eighth at the Rocket Mortgage just last month. He’s one of the best Bermuda Green putters in the game and this is the exact course where he can build some confidence before heading into the play-offs.

Denny McCarthy (250/1)

This competition often throws up a surprise winner, with Arjun Atwal taking the 2010 title, Camilo Villegas and David Love III taking consecutive crowns in 2014 and 2015 while Jim Herman romped to victory just last year. 

That leaves some of the players toward the bottom of the betting looking like decent value, and none more so than Denny McCarthy (250/1). His recent form is nothing to write home about, though on courses of this nature he’s been known to be in the mix. 

His best finish this year was a third place at the Honda Classic, which is another short course that requires accuracy and a good old-fashioned game and is where Im managed his maiden PGA Tour title. 

McCarthy finished 13^th at the Heritage this year, while he has a strong record at the RSM Classic, Houston Open and Sanderson Farms, all of which are similar layouts and have Bermuda Greens. 

He finished ninth here last season and has slowly improved year-on-year, so at his price he’s certainly worth a punt.

Kevin Na (40/1)

Finally, it’s Kevin Na (40/1) who gets our backing as he looks to be making a slow return to form. He’s managed two top-25s in a row now and one of those was a second placed finish at the John Deere Classic. 

Those two events may be just the build up he needed to a course where he’s gone well in the past. His only two visits here have seen him secure a top-10 in both, so he definitely will have fond memories of Sedgefield. 

His short game has been second to none recently and if he can find these greens with regularity, he’ll be hard to beat in a putt off so he’s worth a small flutter considering.

Sung-Jae Im E/W At 28/1

Kevin Na E/W At 40/1

Denny McCarthy E/W At 250/1

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