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This appears a fairly evenly matched tie with both sides hard to break down, as the other semi-final between PSG and Man City looks set to offer greater entertainment for the neutral.
Real Madrid arrive at this fixture unbeaten in 17 appearances, winning 12 of them, though three of their last four outings have ended in goalless stalemates.
Although a draw at Anfield was a good result, with a 3-1 lead from the first leg to protect, failure to find a breakthrough against either Getafe or Real Betis has seen them fail to take the initiative in a tight domestic title race.
Los Blancos aren’t the swashbuckling side of Zinedine Zidane’s first spell in charge, with the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo and Gareth Bale no longer around.
Still, they don’t lack for experience at this level and the well-established midfield trio of Toni Kroos, Luka Modric and Casemiro remains intact, as they demonstrated an ability to control proceedings against Liverpool. Instead, Real Madrid’s current side is built upon a more pragmatic approach, with their past 16 matches yielding nine clean sheets – including each of the last four.
Chelsea don’t tend to hand up too many opportunities to their opponent’s frontline either. They’ve registered clean sheets in 16 of 21 matches under Thomas Tuchel so far, including each of their past three against Man City, Brighton and West Ham.
Understandably, their matches haven’t typically been high-scoring affairs, with as many as 18 of these featuring fewer than three goals, while 11 saw just the single strike or less.
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MAN CITY V TOTTENHAM
Both Teams To Score No
The Blues have certainly delivered when it matters most under new management, as in encounters with Atletico Madrid, Porto, Tottenham, Liverpool, Man Utd, Man City and West Ham, they’re a hugely impressive W7-D1-L1.
Even the sole defeat was inflicted in the 93rd minute of their second leg with Porto, with that quarter-final tie effectively over by that point.
It’s hard to ignore just how tight Chelsea have kept things in these crunch matches against quality outfits. All nine of those games saw a maximum of two goals, while seven featured a solitary strike or none at all. That includes just one goal conceded, so expect this encounter to follow suit.
Chelsea are unbeaten in all 10 road trips under Tuchel, beating Tottenham, Atletico, Liverpool and West Ham by 1-0 scorelines, as well as Porto 2-0.
With that in mind, we wouldn’t be comfortable backing their hosts here. However, Real Madrid have won the first leg in nine of their past 10 Champions League knockout ties, and are enjoying their own nine-game unbeaten run at home (W7-D2), including victories over Atalanta, Liverpool and Barcelona.
Real Madrid have previously struggled in the Champions League without veteran captain Sergio Ramos, but they have managed results against top teams this season in Europe without him.
Although they lost both games to Shakhtar Donetsk in the group stages, he also missed the 2-0 win away at Inter and a 1-0 triumph away at Atalanta in the Last 16, while he didn’t feature at all in the quarter-finals against Liverpool.
In a game that looks set to be short on chances, under 2.5 goals is understandably a short price, though backing at least one team to misfire makes sense.
Last season saw one-legged ties at this stage, as PSG and Bayern both won their respective matches 3-0. Meanwhile, between 2013/14 and 2018/19, nine of 12 first-leg semi-finals saw at least one team fail to score.
Both Teams To Score (No) At 4/5
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