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MAN CITY TO WIN AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE AT 3/1!
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Man City have got the Premier League all but wrapped up as they hold a 10-point lead over Manchester rivals Man United with just five games to play.
Couple that with their Carabao Cup win over Spurs at the weekend and they’ll be full of confidence heading into this first leg as they look for the one trophy that has eluded them.
PSG’s league title is under serious threat from Lille, though it’s fair to say that their focus will be mainly on this competition as they look to go a step further than last year and win the entire competition.
Coming through ties with Bayern Munch and Barcelona is no easy feat, though this could be the hardest yet as Pep Guardiola’s side look in good nick.
However, PSG haven’t exactly looked out of sorts and have won 19 of 25 matches since Mauricio Pochettino’s first game in charge, winning five of their last six and scoring at least three times in each of those wins.
In fact, they’ve scored three or more times in 10 of their last 11 wins, though aside from a 3-2 win away at Bayern Munich, none of the other sides hold a candle to Man City and we’d expect this to be a tighter contest.
Man City To Beat PSG
City themselves have won 30 of their last 33 matches, though they’ve been less dominant of late having lost two of their last five, while each of their last four wins have all come by just the single strike, and the difference between the teams here may rest on their respective home and away form this season.
Indeed, after a sluggish start to the season where the Citizens only managed victories in half of their opening 10 road trips, they’ve now won 16 on the bounce and while they’ve been incredibly resolute defensively, they’ve still conceded in half of those 16 games and with the goalscoring prowess of PSG we’d be very surprised if they managed to shut them out here.
Draw (PSG +1 goal)
While there’s very little to fault the Parisians on under current management, they’ve been slightly susceptible when playing on home soil against some of the more challenging teams.
While they’ve had sizable wins over Stade Brest (3-0), Montpellier (4-0), Nimes (3-0) and Lille (3-0) at Parc des Princes, all of their last five matches that they’ve failed to win have also come on home soil in defeats against Monaco (2-0), Nantes (2-1), Lille (1-0) and Bayern Munich (1-0), as well as a 1-1 draw in Barcelona as, like Man City, they’ve been far superior on the road.
We’ll therefore take the visitors on the 1x2 market at a good price, while the one goal winning margin also looks a good bet here.
PSG V MAN CITY ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 26/04/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
