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Spurs v Wolves
Spurs can be considered fortunate to remain unbeaten in the league so far, with their 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge a result they’ll more than take considering balance of play, and if they want to compete at the top they’ll have to massively improve as the season progresses. That said, they were impressive in their opener at home to Southampton, and there’s little doubt as to why they’re favourites here.
Wolves had a lot of joy getting in behind the Fulham defence last weekend, though they spurned countless glorious opportunities in their 0-0 draw and can ill afford to be as wasteful here. Bruno Lage’s men have lost nine of their last 10 away matches against top-six outfits like Spurs, with the exception coming as they snatched a last minute draw at Stamford Bridge.
Antonio Conte’s men have also been on a good run at home winning eight of their last 11 such outings, so we wouldn’t want to bet against them. The midlands side rarely get blown away though, as only two of their last 20 away outings has seen them lose by more than a single strike, and the handicap market appeals here.
WOLVES +1.5 HANDICAP
Palace v Villa
Palace were exceptional at Anfield on Monday night, and would have come away with maximum points if it weren’t for the brilliance of Luis Diaz. Joachim Andersen was exceptional at the heart of the back three, though we wouldn’t be surprised if they reverted to just two centre-backs here when playing at home against a weaker side.
Villa held off Frank Lampard’s Everton side last weekend and came away with a 2-1 victory, though they weren’t necessarily convincing, and they’ll have to do a lot more if they wasn’t to compete in the top-half of the table this season.
This is a repeat of Steven Gerrard’s first away match in charge of Villa, a match they won 2-1, and they have a balanced away record of W6-D1-L7 going back to that game, though they’ll do well to repeat that feat of last season given Palace’s record at home since.
Indeed, Palace have lost just four home games since that clash, with all four defeats coming against European qualifying sides (West Ham, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal). While Hakim Ziyech (19th February) was the last Premier League visiting player to score at Selhurst Park before Gabriel Martinelli opened the account there this season, a run that stretched seven matches and included clean sheets against Man City, Arsenal and Man United.
PALACE TO KEEP A CLEAN SHEET
Everton v Forest
It’s been a poor start for Frank Lampard having fallen short in a promising display against Chelsea before losing to Aston Villa, another defeat here would massively pile the pressure on the former England midfielder.
The City ground was rocking for Forest’s first home game back in the Premier League, and that home support dragged them to a 1-0 win over West Ham, though this will be a bigger test of their capabilities on the road.
For all the negative media attention on Everton, they have a strong home record under Lampard going W7-D1-L3 at Goodison across all competitions, including wins over Chelsea, Man United, Newcastle and Palace, with five of those seven wins coming to nil.
Everton have, however, lost seven of their last 10 home matches against newly promoted sides, though the majority have come due to second half collapses, evident in the fact that they’re unbeaten in the first half of their last eight against such sides.
It’s a tough game to call, though benefit of the doubt has to go to the hosts here with Forest ultimately fortunate to have claimed a victory at the weekend, while they were thoroughly outplayed in both of their outings so far.
EVERTON TO WIN
Fulham v Brentford
Two draws to open their Premier League account isn’t bad going for Fulham, though it could have been much more considering they led for the majority of the game against Liverpool and had a penalty saved in their stalemate with Wolves last weekend.
Marco Silva’s men have played on the front foot and have done so well, and anything less than three points here could be seen as a disappointment.
Brentford humiliated Man United 4-0 on Sunday, and while their high-press worked wonders, their visitors weren’t at the races and we’d expect Fulham to give them a far better game of things. The Bees did well to come from behind against Leicester on the opening day to earn a draw, and their record against Fulham will fill them with confidence.
Indeed, they’ve lost just one of their last 19 matches against the Cottagers across all competitions, while Fulham are winless now in 24 top-flight London derbies. While Fulham failed to score last week, that was against a defensively solid Wolves outfit, while they broke the record last year for goals in a Championship season, so we’d expect them to at least find the net here.
Brentford have seen over 2.5 goals land in 10 of their last 11 away league outings, while both games this season have seen over 3.5 goals.
OVER 2.5 GOALS
Leicester v Southampton
Leicester’s main focus in the coming weeks is keeping hold of their star names like Wesley Fofana and James Maddison, though Brenden Rogers will be hoping he can channel his side’s attention into nabbing their first win of the season against Southampton this weekend. They’ve gone unbeaten across their last five outings with the Saints (W3-D2) across all competitions, and they’ll be determined to extend that record here.
Southampton looked to be heading for another convincing defeat at the weekend before pulling two goals back late on to share the spoils at home to Leeds, though they’re yet to convince this season and fans won’t be too hopeful going into this.
The Saints won just three matches on the road in the whole of last season, conceding two or more in 15 of those 19 games, while all but one of their losses came by a minimum two goal margin. They seem to have carried that on this year with a 4-1 defeat to Spurs, and the handicap appeals here.
LEICESTER -1 HANDICAP
Bournemouth v Arsenal
It’s been a much stronger start to this season than last for Arsenal, who are just one of two sides with a 100% record from their opening two games. Gabriel Jesus has been electric so far, and will be hoping to nab a couple here against newly promoted Bournemouth.
The Cherries looked a good unit when hosting Villa on the opening day, taking the lead early on and putting in a professional performance to hold on. They were soundly beaten by Man City, though there’s no shame in that and they’ll easily put that behind them.
Arsenal have a strong W9-D2-L1 record against promoted sides over the last two seasons, winning each of the last five such outings and with their start, it would be a surprise to see them falter here.
Their away record isn’t great though, with that win over Palace on the opening day the first clean sheet they’ve managed on the road since beating Villa at home back in March, a run stretching seven matches, so the match result with both teams to score looks appealing here as a way of garnering some value.
ARSENAL TO WIN AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
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