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Peru entered the Copa America in poor form having gone just W1-D2-L6 since October 2019, though it’s worth noting that each of those defeats came against either Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia or Uruguay.
Those five teams are all nestled inside the top 20 in the world according to FIFA’s rankings, and after an opening day defeat to hosts Brazil, they’ve since won two of three unbeaten games at these finals.
In fact, excluding those five opponents, Peru are W4-D3-L1 against the rest of the South American sides since the start of 2019. They’ve also dominated this fixture in recent times, winning six of the last seven meetings, though the most recent clash in October ended in a stalemate.
Historically, this has been a low-scoring affair with 10 of 14 encounters since 2004 featuring fewer than three goals, with at least one team failing to score in nine of these.
Paraguay have certainly been involved in a lot of low-scoring affairs of late, with 15 of their past 19 matches seeing a maximum of two strikes, including five of the last six, though at short odds we’d avoid that market.
Peru Draw No Bet
Paraguay have only lost three times in 13 appearances and although those defeats have come in their last five outings, these were inflicted by quality teams Brazil (2-0), Argentina (1-0) and Uruguay (1-0).
A lack of firepower remains a concern though and Paraguay have scored more than once in just five of 19 matches, with two of those against the continent’s weakest side Bolivia.
Another exception came in a friendly win over Jordan, who are even lower than Bolivia according to FIFA’s world rankings, so it’s difficult to get behind Paraguay in this one.
That’s especially the case with one of their star players, Newcastle attacker Miguel Almiron, picking up a hamstring injury last time out against Uruguay and leaving the pitch in tears.
His tournament may or may not yet be over, but the Paraguayan medical staff have definitely ruled him out of this clash, further encouraging us to get behind their opponents here.
Peru 1-0 Correct Score
Although Paraguay look set to struggle at the sharp end, they’re not too shabby at the back and have conceded more than once in just three of 14 fixtures now.
The only team to breach their defence twice in their last six fixtures were Brazil, with their other three defeats over this 14-game period all ending 1-0.
In addition, Peru have won three of the past five head-to-heads by a 1-0 scoreline, as that appears the most likely outcome once again.