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Italy’s recent woes seem to continue after a humbling 3-0 defeat to Argentina in the Finalissima on Wednesday night, though they’ll need to really dust themselves off if they to better their last Nations League result and reach the final this time round. That’s a lot easier said than done though, especially when in a group with Germany, England and a Hungary side that proved to be a bit tricky in the Euros.
For all of Italy’s success, they’ve won just four of their last 14 matches within the confines of 90 minutes, and while two of those wins came against Belgium, the other two were over Austria and Lithuania which doesn’t bode well when coming up against a side of Germany’s calibre.
The Germans haven’t been as devastating in recent years as we’ve become accustomed to, though they still remain one of the elite sides with a host of dangerous talent. They’re currently on a run of eight wins from nine unbeaten outings since being dumped out of the Euros by England, though on closer inspection, those victories came over the likes of Israel, Armenia, Liechtenstein, North Macedonia, Romania and Iceland, with their only draw coming against the only side capable of clinching a result, Netherlands.
They’ll feel confident after seeing Argentina dismantle this Italian side, though they have a relatively poor recent record against the Azzurri, winning just one of their last 10 clashes, with that coming in an international Friendly back in March 2016.
Four of the last six have ended all square, but in truth it’s Germany who are looking the more ominous side at the moment and based on Wednesday night, we simply can’t get behind the Italians to get anything here, even if it is on home soil, with their recent home record reading a meagre W2-D2-L2.
Timo Werner To Score Anytime
Manuel Neuer will likely return between the sticks here for the visitors as while Marc-Andre ter Stegen has featured two of their last three games, they carried far less weight than this with World Cup Qualification already assured.
Chelsea trio Antonio Rudiger, Kai Havertz and Timo Werner will likely start from the off too, with the latter poised to make his 50th international appearance.
We wouldn’t be shocked to see him mark the occasion with a goal either as while his domestic form hasn’t been electric, he’s now scored six in his last seven games for Germany, with four of those coming away from home.
Germany To Win
Andrea Belotti will likely fill in for the injured Ciro Immobile and that could prove costly to the hosts’ chances.
Indeed, they’ve gone W1-D2-L1 in the last four matches their talisman has missed, drawing to Switzerland and Northern Ireland and losing to Spain in the semis of last year’s competition, so it seems that, with no favourite here with the bookies, the value has to be with the visitors.
PREDICTIONS:
GERMANY TO WIN
TIMO WERNER TO SCORE ANYTIME
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