After winning the Euro’s, things have only gone downhill for gli Azzurri, having failed to qualify for the World Cup after losing to North Macedonia.
There have only been three other instances where a team has won the Euro’s and then failed to qualify for the next World Cup (Czechoslovakia: 1978, Denmark: 1994 and Greece: 2006).
Even though England have qualified for the World Cup finals, it hasn’t been smooth sailing in the Nations League. Through their first four matches they only have two points to their name thanks to draws with Italy (0-0) and Germany (1-1).
Their two losses both came against Hungary (0-1, 0-4) and whilst the English side was not a full strength team in either game, they still would expect to have put on better showings.
Both teams have suffered since their European Finals match where Italy bested England on penalties. In the eight matches played by both teams, there has only been one win between them (Italy 2-1 Hungary).
What’s more worrying for England fans is the fact they have only scored one goal through their four games, a Harry Kane spot kick in the 88th minute against Germany to bring the match back to level pegging.
The recent call ups from both sides strike an interesting comparison in uncapped/new additions, England have six players that have less than five national team appearances. By contrast, the Italians have over double that number at 13.
This is probably down to England’s team being chosen in preparation for World Cup duties, but Italy don’t have to worry about that, this could also suggest a weaker side for their match against Hungary.
Since the Nations League was founded (2018), Italy have played nine home games and have a below average record of W3-D5-L1. It must be said that the only ‘upset’ was a 1-1 draw with Bosnia-Herzegovina as they’ve also played highly reputable teams in Germany, Spain, Netherlands, and Poland.
All have been extremely low scoring with no games having over 3.5 goals and the most common scoreline was 1-1 which happened four times. Six of the nine fixtures had under 2.5 goals and Italy only failed to score once.
Under 2.5 Goals
England’s away record is a balanced W3-D3-L3, but are winless in their last four away matches in the Nations League. A similar theme between the two sides is the lack of goals, they’ve had seven of their nine games finished with under 2.5 goals, including each of their last six.
A key difference is that England have failed to score in five of these nine away game, only netting five in total, two of which were penalties.
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
1-1 DRAW (0.5PTS)
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