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Chelsea are now guaranteed a top-four finish after Arsenal’s dismal night at Newcastle on Monday, and a point here will be enough to secure third place ahead of the final day of action, owing to a vastly superior goal difference to Tottenham.
Given their last game is a home clash with Watford, the Blues can approach this fixture without any anxiety and they’ll hope to improve upon a W2-D2-L3 record across their past seven in all competitions.
Thomas Tuchel does have a few players absent here. Kai Havertz and Timo Werner are unlikely to be risked having both missed the FA Cup final with hamstring complaints, while Thiago Silva needed treatment multiple times during that game and should sit this one out.
Andreas Christensen caused a stir by ruling himself out of contention on the morning of the final and looks to have played his last game for the club, while Ben Chillwell and Callum Hudson-Odoi remain sidelined with injury.
Wilfried Ndidi, Ricardo Pereira and Ryan Bertrand are on the treatment table for Leicester, though Jamie Vardy returned to the starting line-up in Leicester’s past two outings to hand Brendan Rodgers a boost.
The veteran marksmen scored twice on both occasions, but although the Foxes won these games comfortably, they were against relegated duo Norwich (3-0) and Watford (5-1). Their previous form had left a lot to be desired, losing four of seven winless matches in all competitions, including defeats on the road at Newcastle, Tottenham and Roma.
In fact, the Foxes are W4-D5-L11 on their travels since the start of November. Limited to results against sides in the top half of the table, as well as high quality European outfits Napoli and Roma, they’ve lost nine of 11 winless road trips this season.
The exceptions saw them go down on penalties to Liverpool in the League Cup and earn a stalemate at Man Utd, though they threw away leads in both of those encounters and their porous backline has hindered progress all season.
Both Teams To Score
Indeed, Leicester hold the worst defensive record amongst the top half of the table and have registered just three clean sheets in 16 appearances across all competitions, and just one across the past six as that came at home to Norwich – the lowest scorers in the Premier League by some distance this season.
Their backline has been especially poor at holding out against the better teams, conceding 29 goals across those aforementioned 11 away days against top-half sides and the Italian duo in Europe, shipping at least two goals in nine of these.
Chelsea put three past them at Stamford Bridge back in November, but they’ve hardly been prolific in recent weeks. They’ve scored more than once in just two of their last six outings, though the only times they drew blanks were at Everton and then Liverpool in the FA Cup final.
Those are the only two occasions where the Blues have failed to score in 18 matches since their League Cup final defeat to Liverpool in February, so they should really be finding the net here.
Chelsea To Win 2-1
10 of Leicester’s 13 defeats since the start of December have seen them register on the scoreboard, with five of these finishing 2-1.
There’s good reason to think that they can also join Chelsea in finding the net, especially with Jamie Vardy back in action, but their record at the other end is too hard to overlook.
PREDICTIONS:
CHELSEA TO WIN 2-1
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
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