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After dropping seven points from as many games, the reigning champions are only one point ahead of their Merseyside rivals. During the Christmas period, Liverpool were 11 points behind with a game in hand, but have managed to win that last nine in a row, whilst City have dropped points at the most crucial times.
If Burnley can outperform Everton by five points in the 11 games left in the season, they might be able to stay up, but this will be a tall order. They are currently the odds-on favourite to be relegated (excluding Watford and Norwich) and it will take a lot from those players if they want to stay up.
Since Burnley returned to the top flight in 2016/17, these two teams have played one another on 14 different occasions and the Citizens obviously come out on top. They won 13 and drew the other, scoring 44 goals compared to Burnley’s five (3.5 average match goals).
Man City To Win And Over 3.5 Goals
If we take a closer look at these games, we can see that Burnley have lost all nine meetings since 2018/19 and scored just a solitary goal. It makes more sense to look at these specific games because the teams and stats are more relevant to both sides’ current situation.
The most common scoreline across those most recent nine clashes was 5-0, occurring on four different occasions, which is truly phenomenal due to the high volume of goals and the rate at which this scoreline has happened.
The Citizens netted 32 goals to Burnley’s one (3.67 average match goals) and won every game to-nil bar one which finished 4-1.
Man City To Win To Nil
We believe the bookies are offering good odds on a City win when you consider they have only lost to them once over the last 40 years.
This is probably due to a few slipups in recent games against the likes of Southampton, Palace and Tottenham (1-1, 0-0 and 3-2 losses), but we believe that they will come back revitalized and ready to take on the title challenge that is ahead of them.
PREDICTIONS:
MAN CITY TO WIN TO NIL
MAN CITY TO WIN AND OVER 3.5 GOALS
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