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Brazil ran out 3-1 winners when these sides met in the Copa America final two years ago, and in truth it seems as though the gulf in class between the sides is even greater now than it was then.
On top of that, the hosts not only enjoy the luxury of playing this game on home soil, but also that they have a game (and win) under their belt which should just settle them down a bit, so the omens don’t look good for Peru.
Two months after that final Peru did enact their revenge on Brazil in a friendly, though that result came in the midst of five winless games for La Canarinha, all of which were friendlies, and they’ve now won 12 of 13 unbeaten competitive matches when including extra-time and penalties since they lost to Belgium in the World Cup quarters three years ago.
Brazil opened their defence with a convincing 3-0 win over Venezuela on Sunday night, meaning they’ve now won eight matches on the bounce, keeping seven clean sheets in that time, and scoring 22 goals so it’s hard to see how they’re going to be toppled here.
That clean sheet exception, however, did come against Peru themselves during this World Cup qualifying campaign so we wouldn’t be so sure on a shutout here from the hosts despite now going over eight hours without conceding.
Brazil To Win And Over 2.5 Goals
Peru have won just four of 30 historic meetings with Brazil, though two have come in the last six head-to-heads as they managed to at least find the net in four of those games.
They’ve been in something of a dry spell in front of goal, however, failing to net in three following that 4-2 defeat to Brazil in October, though they were impressive in a 2-1 win over a tricky Ecuador side in their final game before this competition.
On those grounds, we wouldn’t be surprised to see them get on the scoresheet, as they have done in nine of their last 13 Copa America matches, as well as in three of their last four Copa America matches against Brazil, though it’s hard to look past the host on the 1x2 market.
Brazil have played 28 Copa America matches on home soil, losing only once and never failing to lift the trophy in any of the previous five tournaments they’ve hosted, so the result and over 2.5 goals market look to provide ample value in a game that looks like it only has one outcome.
Brazil To Win And Over 2.5 Goals At 5/6
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 15/06/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
