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Chile got their campaign off to a positive start with a 1-1 draw against Argentina, though as expected they were on the back foot for most of the contest and Argentina were left rueing a host of missed opportunities.
The Chileans should take a different approach to this game and expect to have the majority of the chances, and the only question will be whether or not they can put them away as they face Bolivia for the third time in five matches now
The last two meetings in June and March finished 1-1 and 2-1 to Chile, respectively, while their previous meeting ended 1-0 to Bolivia, so this looks destined to be another close contest.
Indeed, since Peru knocked Chile out of the last Copa America in 2019, 12 of their 13 matches have been separated by a maximum of one strike, with the exception coming as they enacted their revenge on Peru in November last year.
Bolivia +2 Goals
Bolivia haven’t turned up for a while now and have won just three times since they last beat Chile in September 2017, a run stretching 31 matches now.
However, while 10 of their first 14 defeats in that runs came by two or more goals, only one of their last five have going back to October so their every reason to believe they can, at the very least, remain competitive here.
They lost their opening fixture 3-1 to Paraguay, though they were leading at the hour mark despite being a man down from the 45th minute onwards and were very much in the game until Angel Romero’s strike in the last 10 minutes sealed their fate.
While the temptation may be to find value in getting behind a positive result for the Bolivians, we’d be sceptical considering their recent Covid-19 blows, most notably the absence of all-time leading goal scorer Marcelo Moreno, who has netted seven times in his last seven games for his national side.
While we’d still expect them to bounce back having taken positives from that defeat to Paraguay, their lack of a talisman may hinder their chances of taking a point, and we’d expect a narrow Chile win.
Chile -1 Handicap
While Bolivia certainly have a primary goal threat in Moreno, Chile haven’t go that man that is a main source of goals, with each of their last six strikes coming from different players, leaving little value in getting behind any of them in the anytime goalscorer market considering we’re not expecting them to run away with it, and the handicap market looks to best place to focus.