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Lazio scraped a 3-2 win at the weekend hosting bottom side Crotone, but it can’t disguise their poor form at present. They’ve lost four of their last six outings, with each loss coming by a minimum two-goal margin, including a 4-1 thrashing in the first leg of this tie.
Those six matches saw Lazio concede a combined 14 times, as Juventus and Inter also managed three-goal hauls against them.
In fact, Simone Inzaghi’s side have registered just two clean sheets in 11 appearances now, as both came over bottom-half teams domestically. Both teams scored in eight of those 11 matches, as well as 24 of their last 31, as this has been a consistent theme for the Italian side.
Reigning champions Bayern appear in no mood to relent and following a couple of poor results after returning from the Club World Cup, they’ve since recorded four wins on the bounce.
They netted 16 times across these, with their 3-1 win over Werder Bremen this weekend their lowest goal-haul over this period, while it also included an impressive 4-2 win over Borussia Dortmund. However, they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in six outings now, shipping 10 goals across these games.
David Alaba is a doubt for this clash, but Bayern are strengthened by the returns of Benjamin Pavard and Thomas Muller after they missed the first leg.
Lazio are without centre-back Luiz Felipe and midfielders Manuel Lazzari and Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro, but we doubt the team news will have much impact on this encounter.
Bayern To Win And Both Teams To Score
Bayern are clear favourites to take the spoils having won 17 of 18 unbeaten Champions League matches since the start of last season.
Even the exception came away at Atletico Madrid in the group stages with top spot already secure, as Hansi Flick left a number of players at home including Manuel Neuer, Leon Goretzka and goal machine Robert Lewandowski.
However, it’s worth noting that the Bavarian giants have only shut out their opponents in one of their last six in this tournament.
Meanwhile, both teams have scored in all seven of Lazio’s games this season, leaving that market an enticing prospect. Indeed, even on home turf, that bet has landed in 10 of Bayern’s last 11 across all competitions.
Although both teams to score is reasonably priced, we’d still prefer to couple it with the home win. Bayern’s record in this tournament and Lazio’s poor form suggest the outcome is an inevitability, while Lazio have found the net in seven of their last eight defeats.
Bayern To Win And Both Teams To Score At 7/5
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 15/03/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS