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Bangladesh v Zimbabwe
A sensational victory over Pakistan was the biggest upset of the World Cup so far as Zimbabwe successfully defended a small total of 130. Pakistan needed three off the final three balls, but still managed to fall short, and Zimbabwe will take great confidence from that.
Bangladesh haven’t made the best case for themselves so far, beating Netherlands by just nine runs to kick off their campaign, while they were truly outclassed against South Africa as the Proteas knocked the highest total of the super 12 stage so far (205), before Bangladesh were bowled out for less than half of that total.
The Asian side are on a poor run of form going back to the beginning of last year’s world cup, losing 21 of 28 matches, with all seven victories coming against sides ranked lower than them, while it also included defeats to West Indies (three times), Afghanistan (twice), Scotland and Zimbabwe themselves twice just three months ago. What’s more, they’ve lost 10 of their last 11 matches at neutral venues, only narrowly beating the Netherlands and the value has to be with Zimbabwe on a high.
ZIMBABWE TO WIN
Netherlands v Pakistan
Two defeats has all but seen Pakistan exit the competition and anything other than a comprehensive victory here would end their already slim hopes. With that said, we’d expect them to achieve just that.
Having beaten UAE and Namibia in their opening two games, their defeat to Sri Lanka proved irrelevant in qualification for the Super 12 and they’ve now lost their last three outings. The Dutch have played six matches against elite sides going back to last year’s World Cup, and have lost all six, so the result really shouldn’t be in doubt here.
With the gulf in class, the eye turns to one of Pakistan’s top order, with wickets expected to be few and far between when the Asian side are at the crease. Shan Masood has been the only player who’s looked up to it so far, top scoring for his country in both matches. Baba Azam was favourite to be tournament top run scorer, but with just four to his name so far, while Mohammed Rizwan averages just 12.6 from five innings down under, and we’re happy to get behind Masood again as top batman at a longer price.
SHAN MASOOD TOP BATSMAN
India v South Africa
Comprehensive victories for both these sides on Thursday has kept them in the hunt for qualification in their respective groups. The Proteas were coming off the back of a ‘no result’ against Zimbabwe, though their 104 run victory has massively helped their net run rate ahead of what is a crucial clash in the group.
India themselves have been relentless, winning 12 of their last 16 T20 Internationals including a recent 2-1 series victory over South Africa themselves. That run includes six wins from their last seven outings, though while they’ve won 10 of their last 12 matches at neutral venues, many were against weaker sides and up against elite sides Pakistan, Sri Lanka and New Zealand, that neutral record is just W2-L4 since the beginning of 2021.
India are certainly short here considering how formidable South Africa have been with the bat. They put on 51 in three overs against a Zimbabwe team that recently toppled Pakistan, while their 205/5 is the biggest total of the Super 12 stage so far. South Africa have won each of their last seven matches at neutral venues going back to October last year, and they look worth getting behind here.
SOUTH AFRICA TO WIN
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