Home Soil An Advantage
Australia became the T20 World Cup champions back in November and the Baggy Greens will be hoping to carry on their display of dominance into a different form of cricket over the next couple of months as they welcome England for a much anticipated Ashes series.
With five players who started the final versus New Zealand starting here, they’ll be full of confidence heading into this series, with that home soil advantage looking to play massively in their favour.
England Looking For Gabba Improvement
England obviously didn’t have as good a World Cup as Australia, though the impact of the toss was far too great over in the UAE, and things could have gone very differently if that went in their favour. That won’t have any effect on this test side though as they look to break an unwanted run in the first test here at the Gabba.
Indeed, when the Ashes is played in Australia, the last time that England won the first test was all the way back in 1986, with that 7 wicket victory one of just two wins at the Gabba since 1936.
Australia Strong Favourites
England went on to win that series, though with that feat only being repeated once since (2011), it’s understandable to see the hosts as strong favourites here.
Since that 1986 series, Australia have hosted the Ashes on eight occasions, and the first in the series has been won six times by the home side, with the other two both resulting in a draw.
All of these six games were won very convincingly by Australia, the latest (2019) and earliest (1990) wins were both won by an entire innings. The other margins of victories coming by 184 runs, 277 runs, 381 runs and 384 runs.
Australia To Win
Joe Root will captain the England side for his third Ashes series, though his record down under is not up the the standards we’re used to seeing of him.
He has never managed to take a single test off Australia, with the Aussies winning nine and drawing one of those 10. England and Root will need to get out of that statistical slump if they want any chance of winning the series.
Although the suffered defeat in their last outing here against India, that result was very much an anomaly, with Australia having gone 31 matches unbeaten at the Gabba before that result, and we’re inclined to see that defeat serve as motivation more than anything else.
Australia look great value at odds-against, though question marks arise over the conditions and weather or not a result will be garnered at all.
La Nina has been effecting Australia’s east coast and is predicted to continue doing so throughout the summer months, though with the margins of victory in the head-to-heads here, there’s every chance this could be wrapped up in the midst of this weather.
AUSTRALIA TO WIN