EXTRA VALUE FOR THE ST JUDE INVITATIONAL!
WGC St Jude Invitational Betting Tips
A balanced game is needed here and those who can find as many greens in regulation as possible will undoubtedly go well, with eight of the last 10 winners leading the field in strokes gained: tee-to-green.
Collin Morikawa leads the tour in that metric, and it’s therefore unsurprising that the Open Champion goes off as joint-favourite here, though it’s tough to overestimate how much of an impact performing at the Olympics will have on him.
While players are often used to travelling across time zones on a weekly basis, 76 holes of golf in a hot and humid climate all the way on the other side of the world is going to take its toll, especially after a gruelling Open Championship at Royal St. Georges and with little course pedigree to go off, Morikawa is worth avoiding.
The same could be said of another market leader in Olympic Champion Xander Schauffele. He was impeccable last week in Japan, though he’s struggled to win on home soil recently and these conditions a vastly different to what he encountered last week.
Like Morikawa, he has little to go off at Southwind (although a best finish of sixth is nothing to be sniffed at) and it’s the third market leader that takes our fancy.
Brooks Koepka 12/1
Brooks Koepka (12/1) is back playing one of his favourite courses on the circuit, one that he won at two years and finished an agonising runner-up to an inspired Justin Thomas last year.
In fact, he has four top-three finishes here in his last six starts and despite his short price, it’s very hard to look past him.
He’s got the current form to go with his pedigree here with four top-six finishes in his last six events and having taken a couple of weeks off since the Open, he should be well rested, recharged, and confident of picking up his first win since the Phoenix Open in February.
He ranks third behind Morikawa and Jon Rahm in strokes gained: tee-to-green this year despite not having the most consistent of starts, and we’re happy to get behind him to take this title for the second time in three years.
Daniel Berger 22/1
Another who looks to fit the mould at a slightly longer price is Daniel Berger (22/1). With nine of the last 10 winners at Southwind hailing from the States, it’s no surprise to see them dominating the top of the market.
Berger won this back-to-back in 2016 and 2017 and also was joint with Kopeka last year behind Thomas, so it’s safe to say he knows what it takes around here.
He’s not been the best around the greens, though tee to green he’s one of the best around and in this field, he’ll fancy his chances.
He’s already a winner on tour this year as he came up trumps at Pebble Beach, while he’s also got top-10 finishes in the most recent majors (US Open and the Open).
It’s only a matter of time before Berger wins on tour again and rarely does the phrase ‘horses for courses’ ring truer than with Berger for Southwind.
Jordan Spieth 16/1
Finally, the other American who takes our fancy toward the top of the market is Open runner-up Jordan Spieth (16/1).
The cream has risen to the top in recent editions of the St Jude Invitational and there’s no reason to think this year will be any different.
After a torrid start to the season and, in fact, a couple of years, he’s seen a resurgence like no other which started with a fourth-placed finish at the Phoenix Open. Since then, he’s risen from outside the top 200 on tour in approaches to 20th, highlighting that his long game has been as big a factor in his rise as his putting and that will serve him well here.
Again, he’s taken a small break since the Open having not trekked to Japan for the Olympics and that could be the key when push comes to shove at the end of the week.
He was 12th here in 2019 and still managed a top-30 in 2020 during his torrid spell, and he is another who has all the right credentials to put on a show this week.