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Valspar Championship Tips
Statistics of past winners would suggest this very much a second shot course despite its 7,340-yard length, with bombers often finding themselves out of position, and with these narrow corridors and small sloping greens, it’s always going to be an uphill battle if you’re even remotely wayward off the tee.
Three of the top four in the field have ranked in the top 10 for Greens in Regulation over the past two editions, while in 2017 four of the top five were fifth or better in that regard, so it’s no surprise that some of the best iron players in the game have gone well here with Luke Donald and Jordan Spieth both coming up trumps, with strokes gained: tee-to-green another key indicator in picking a winner here.
Bubba Watson 40/1
On those grounds our first choice goes to Bubba Watson (40/1). The American has been in indifferent form this year and will be desperate to make a push for the Ryder Cup team at the end of summer, and this is exactly the kind of course that he can put in a big performance on and get on Steve Stricker’s Radar.
He won his group in the World Matchplay which is no mean feat and followed that up with a strong run at things at Augusta to show signs of coming back to form. He also went well last week with Scottie Scheffler at the Zurich Classic in a top-10 finish for the pair.
A two-time Augusta winner bodes well for Copperhead, while even his iron game is looking good at the moment as he ranks 16th for Strokes gained: Approach, and an even better 14th this season for SG: T2G, so all signs point to a big week for the 42-year-old who will take confidence in his tie for fourth here in 2019 too, and he looks extremely well priced to at least place here.
Kevin Na 50/1
Another American to fit the mould and is looking in good nick is Kevin Na (50/1). The 37-year-old has already won on tour this year in Hawaii, where John Huston, K.J Choi, Vijay Singh and Jim Furyk have all won as well as this.
He has made his last five cuts in single stroke play events including 11th at the Workday Champs and a 12th at the Masters, which sets him up very nicely here, though the real indicator for him is his course pedigree and how he’s performed at those similar courses too.
In his last four visits here to Copperhead, he has two top 10 finishes, including a second place, as well as a 22nd place back in 2016.
He also has a combined four top-15 finishes at Augusta (both in his last two visits) and at Deere Run in the John Deere Classic. In his last three stroke play made cuts in which strokes gained are a recorded metric, he’s ranked second, third and 12th in the Arnold Palmer, Workday and Genesis, respectively, with the latter also proving to be a good course guide here too so he looks incredibly value for an event that clearly suits his game down to a tee.
Bubba Watson E/W At 40/1 (1/5 odds, 6 places)
Kevin Na E/W At 50/1 (1/5 odds, 6 places)
VALSPAR CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 28/04/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
