EXTRA VALUE FOR THE RCB HERITAGE!
About Harbour Town
While Harbour Town is in stark contrast to Augusta National, there are certainly players that are tailored to the course in the same way.
The small greens mean you’re irons need to be dialled in, and the best approach players in the game tend to go well here, epitomised by that Simpson victory in 2020, while the bombers have often struggled, so it’s certainly worth ignoring the favourite Dustin Johnson, who has struggled for form recently and has a CUT-CUT-16-28-17 record at Harbour Town, despite ranking in the top six for driving distance in all three of those made cuts.
RCB Heritage Betting Tips
The key statistic to look at here is, unsurprisingly, scrambling. With the greens so hard to hit, even the best iron players on tour are going to have to rely on their touch around the greens from time to time, and in recent history that’s where this has been won or lost.
Three of the top four last year ranked in the top 5 for Scrambling, while half of the top eight managed to rank 10th or better for that metric in 2019, with a similar trend evident in years prior.
Harris English 40/1
Daniel Berger, Abraham Ancer, Webb Simpson and Tyrrell Hatton were ranked 3rd, 6th, 7th and 14th on tour for Scrambling heading into this last year, and all finished in the top three, so we’re certainly going to be looking at players from a similar bracket this year to find some value.
With that in mind, our first pick for this week is Harris English (40/1). The American already has a PGA Tour win to his name this year, taking the Tournament of Champions title in his first start of the season and although he’s not managed to capitalise on the momentum that victory may have brought, he’s certainly worth a shout here to get back to winning ways.
Despite a relatively poor season by his standards, he’s been one of the best scramblers on tour this year, ranking eighth in that regard and being the fourth best scrambler at the Masters last week.
He doesn’t have the best record around this course, though he has steadily improved in the last four years going CUT-32-25-17, ranking 4th and 13th respectively for scrambling in those most recent two outings, and he looks a good price to build upon what was a strong Masters performance last week.
Si Woo Kim 40/1
The second bet here goes to a player who certainly entertained at the Masters last week, and that man is Si Woo Kim (40/1).
Kim broke his putter in frustration last week, and ended up having to putt out the final few holes of the second round with his three wood, though with his putter back in the bag here, he could pose a threat this week.
A win at the Amex (PGA West), ninth at the PLAYERS (TPC Sawgrass) and 23rd at the Texas Open (Austin Country Club), where he scrambled beautifully all show what Kim has been capable of this season.
More importantly though, all those results came on Pete Dye designed courses, which Harbour Town also is, while all three of his PGA tour wins to date have also come on Pete Dye designs.
The South Korean currently ranks 10th on tour for scrambling, and despite a couple of poor years here in the last couple of seasons, he can call upon some course form having finished an agonising second here in 2018, so at his price he looks well worth a punt considering his form.
Russell Hanley 50/1
The final pick goes to Russell Henley (50/1). The American missed the Masters and that extra rest could work massively in his favour here.
The course seems to suit him down to a tee, and although consistency is a big issue for him at the moment, it can also help bettors who take advantage when he’s at a price like this.
A third at the Honda Classic highlighted how good he can be on and around the greens, which is reflected in his fifth placed ranking for scrambling this year, the exact position he finished with last season so it’s not just a few good events that has bolstered that for him.
He finished sixth on debut here, and although his recent record around Harbour Town leaves a lot to be desired, in truth he’s playing some of the best golf of his career this year and a strong start could work wonders for his confidence, so he looks a good price to get behind for us.