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After five successive matches without victory, Leicester got back to winning ways on Thursday night with a convincing 4-1 win at home to Randers. While they’ll be happy to have claimed a victory, it was nothing less than what was expected, and they’ll be more concerned about results on the domestic front.
A last-minute controversial Craig Dawson goal saw Leicester throw away yet another lead when they faced West Ham last weekend. Consistency has been the main issue for the Foxes, who haven’t registered back-to-back results of any kind since mid-October, and they’ll be desperate for that to translate into three points here.
Wolves have come on leaps and bounds under Bruno Lage after a sluggish start to the season. Their last seven league outings have seen them go W5-D1-L1, only dropping points against Chelsea and Arsenal in that time, both of whom currently occupy positions above them in the table.
In fact, the only sides Wolves have lost too since early November have been Arsenal, Man City and Liverpool, so they’ll certainly be confident heading into this coming off the back of a 2-0 away victory over Spurs.
Wolves -1 Handicap Draw
Wesley Fofana is now back in training for Leicester in what is a huge boost for Brendan Rogers, though this game will come too soon for him, while the likes of Jamie Vardy, Timothy Castagne, James Justin and Johnny Evans are also all ruled out.
Those absentees are massive for Rogers, as in terms of win percentage, those have been the five most influential players for Leicester since the beginning of last season, while without Vardy starting in particular, the Foxes have just a 21% win rate in that period.
Wolves and low scoring games seem to go hand in hand, with their 1.65 match goals per game the lowest of any side in the league this year, 20.7% less than second lowest Brighton.
However, Leicester are at the other end of the table with no one seeing more goals per game than their 3.5 which could be seen to balance out, though without Vardy on the pitch we can’t see this being a goal fest.
While Leicester have scored in six of the seven games Vardy hasn’t started this season, recent head-to-heads suggest that we’ll be hard pressed to find some goals, with just two in total across the last five fixtures, with all seeing under 1.5 goals land.
The hosts will look to dictate play, but ultimately this will be a balanced contest separated by fine margins, and a narrow home win looks the value play here.
PREDICTION:
WOLVES -1 HANDICAP DRAW
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