Wolves have taken a massive hit over the last week in their chances for Champions League qualification. Back-to-back defeats against Arsenal and Sheffield Utd have left them seven points adrift of Leicester in fourth, while they’re even six points adrift of Man Utd in fifth, which could still be a Champions League spot for next season.
Carlo Ancelotti will have faint hopes of a European spot for his Everton side who currently sit in 11th, though a lot will have to go their way for that to happen, starting with three points in this clash.
Wolves have had a fantastic season, though there’s a stark contrast between their form against the top and bottom sides.
They have a poor 19% win rate against top-half sides this season, while against the weaker outfits in the league they’re a much more respectable W10-D6-L2. Everton only just fit into the bottom half, though under Ancelotti they’ve been much stronger than their position suggests.
Wolves And Everton To Draw
Up against middle-third sides (7th-14th) this season, Nuno Espirito Santo’s men have drawn 54% of their matches and we wouldn’t be surprised to see a similar result here.
Everton remain unbeaten at home under their new manager, though on the road it’s been a very different story. They’re W3-D1-L4 away from home under the Italian, with all 10 points in that time being picked up against bottom-half sides, so we definitely can’t get behind them here on the outright.
Draw / Draw Half time / Full time
We also can’t bring ourselves to back the hosts either, considering they’d be all the way down in 12th in a table based solely on home results.
Only Arsenal have had more stalemates than the midlands side this season, and their record against the middle third encourages us to back that outcome again here.
Neither side have been amongst the goals recently, with both just netting four goals each in their last six matches and both drawing blanks in half.
This game, therefore, has ‘Unders’ written all over it as it will undoubtedly be a hard-fought affair with both sides knowing a defeat will end their respective European hopes.
However, the price reflects that and is far too short to get behind, especially considering the goalscoring talent on both sides.
While the hosts only actually have one draw in six now, they’ve been level at the break in five of those games.
The Toffees’ half-time results tend to reflect the score at the full-time whistle too, with six of their last seven being either L/L, D/D, or W/W in the half-time/full-time market, with three of those coming as draws, so it’s definitely worth a flutter at the price.