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Wolves’ 2-1 win away at Arsenal a fortnight ago came at a cost with star striker Raul Jimenez fracturing his skull.
They were blunt in attack against Liverpool last time out in a 4-0 defeat, and although Jurgen Klopp’s champions have the ability to rip teams apart, they’re hardly at full strength defensively.
Nuno Espirito Santo would have hoped his side could have tested the champions a little more, but they should fare better at home to Villa.
Leicester are the only other side to keep Wolves at bay in eight games since the start of October, while they don’t misfire at Molineux too often.
Both Teams To Score
They’ve only failed to score in three of their last 26 six home games, though they scored more than once in just four of the past 14 as they’ve hardly been prolific.
Still, they shouldn’t have too many problems finding at least one goal with their visitors starting to leak at the back again.
Villa’s fantastic start to the season couldn’t last forever and after winning their first four games, including a 7-2 annihilation of Liverpool, they’ve since lost four of five games and conceded 11 goals.
The exception was a 3-0 success away at Arsenal though, as they’ve consistently displayed an attacking threat, only failing to score in one of their nine matches so far this season.
Even the absence of Ross Barkley hasn’t prevented them from finding the net, although his absence does hurt, with Jack Grealish and Ollie Watkins carrying the attacking burden.
Wolves To Beat Aston Villa
Wolves deserve their billing as favourites on home turf, where the only sides to beat them in 32 appearances are Chelsea, Tottenham, Liverpool, Arsenal and Man City.
They won half of these games, and despite a tendency to draw on occasion, we’d back them against a Villa side struggling to find their feet.
Four of Wolves’ last five have seen at least one goal inside the opening half hour, while that’s also been the case in each of Villa’s past four.
Nuno’s men have led at the break in five of their past seven victories, though Vila haven’t trailed at the break in eight consecutive road trips, so we’d avoid the half time/full time market.
Wolves To Win 2-1
Villa lost both games against Wolves last season by one-goal margins, including a 2-1 defeat here at Molineux, while their last two outings against Brighton and West Ham have both ended by the same scoreline.
Wolves might not be firing on all cylinders, but they still retain a decent threat with the likes of Pedro Neto, Adama Traore and Daniel Podence in the team, and the correct score is worth a stab.