22 Dec 2020
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There are glimmers of hope coming out of the Arsenal camp since Christmas as they’ve picked up maximum points from their last two games, overcoming a lackluster Chelsea side 3-1 before winning their first game against Brighton in over three years to bolster them up to 13th in the table.
Having impressed by taking the first points off Liverpool at Anfield last week, West Brom then succumbed to a 5-0 defeat at the hands of a rampant Leeds side on Tuesday, though in truth Leeds aren’t strangers to high scoring games and it’s often difficult to predict which end of a thrashing they’ll be on.
We’d expect this to be a far more reserved affair though, with Arsenal still not looking like a side that can put teams to the sword.
Indeed, the Gunners have still only managed three goals from open play across their last 12 outings dating back to a 2-1 win over league whipping boys Sheffield United at the beginning of October and although the hosts did get taught a lesson by Leeds last time out, we’d expect someone of Sam Allardyce’s reputation to shore up that defence swiftly.
West Brom have an abysmal home record this season, with only Sheffield United and Brighton picking up fewer points on home soil, while they’ve lost their last three such matches by an aggregate score of 13-1, so they need to sort out their defence and fast.
What’s more, this is a ground that the London club have recently failed to get results at, not managing to pick up maximum points here since a 1-0 win back in November 2014, though in truth the most recent of those meetings was a 1-1 draw over three years ago and a lot has changed since then, and a lack of fans will certainly play into the visitors’ hands.
On that basis, we certainly wouldn’t be surprised if Arsenal were to pick up all three points on this occasion, though at the prices they’re far too short.
Under 2.5 Goals
The Baggies have scored just five goals at home all season, with just two being netted in their last 10 hours of football at the Hawthorns so it’s very difficult to get behind them to go on a scoring spree here, while the visitors’ troubles in front of goal have already been made clear.
Only Sheffield United and Burnley have had fewer goals per game than Arsenal this season, while only 44% of West Brom’s outings have seen over 2.5 goals, and at the prices that looks by far the best way to go here.
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