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Wales took Euro 2016 by storm, beating Belgium in the quarters 3-1 before crashing out in the semis to eventual winners Portugal, and they’ll be looking to emulate that feat this time around.
They’ve built some momentum in the last couple of years too and have proven that they’re extremely difficult to beat at times, though anything other than a win here would be a blow to confidence.
Albania are ranked 66th in the world and have been up and above that 50th mark for the last few years now so they’re certainly no pushover.
They’ve won four of their last five games with the exception coming against England, so that’s nothing to drop heads over.
That defeat was their first in eight games, though in truth they’ve faced Kazakhstan (twice), Lithuania, Kosovo, Belarus, Andora and San Marino as the other teams in that run, none of whom are of the quality that Wales possess.
Wales To Win And Under 2.5 Goals
That said, the only previous meeting between these two nations ended 1-0 to the Albanians, and that was only back in 2018, though since then Wales have progressed quite a lot.
Indeed, going back to September 2019 the Dragons have gone W11-D4-L3 and although that was helped largely in part to being in a Nations League B group with Finland, Ireland, and Bulgaria, it’s not as though Albania are a grade above any of those sides.
Notably, those three defeats have come away against England, Belgium and France so they can certainly be forgiven for those, and we’d expect them to come up trumps here and take a win into the first game of the Euros next week.
While the Wales win on the 1x2 market is decent value in itself, it may be worth coupling it with a goals market to gain some extra value, with an unders bet looking the most likely outcome.
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Wales To Win 1-0
Excluding those games against England, Belgium and France which have little bearing on a game of this calibre, 13 of those 15 games for Wales since September 2019 have seen a maximum of two strikes, with eight of the last nine seeing just one goal or none at all, and six of Wales’ last seven wins finishing by that 1-0 scoreline.
We wouldn’t expect Wales to go all out here, with players looking to play at a lower intensity than next weekend in an attempt to avoid injury, which again lends itself to a low scoring game here, so there are a few markets that look to be the smart play here.
Wales To Win And Under 2.5 Goals At 11/5
Correct score: Wales 1-0 Albania At 9/2
WALES V ALBANIA ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 04/06/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS