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Last year’s Europa League winners Sevilla qualified into Pot 1 off the back of that triumph, though ended up finishing second to Chelsea in their group which also included Krasnodar and Rennes.
That won’t matter to the Spaniards though, who have really picked up the pace this season since the group stage, and now comfortably sit in the top four of La Liga.
They come into this game off the back of nine consecutive wins in all competitions when including extra-time, while they’ve won 11 of their last 12 with their only defeat coming away to league leaders Atletico Madrid, so they’ll be full of confidence here.
Dortmund have won just one of their last seven games within 90 minutes to leave them down in sixth in the table and they have a real struggle on their hands if they want to make the top four and qualify for this competition next season.
They are, however, unbeaten in their last five Champions League games, winning four of those to top their group and with Erling Haaland still flying, they’re never far away from a result.
The Norwegian striker scored his 23rd goal in as many games at the weekend and was unlucky not to have more after VAR ruled out another of his goals for offside.
In truth though, their defending was shambolic against Hoffenheim and they were lucky to have only conceded twice, so you can almost guarantee that Sevilla won’t be that wasteful in front of goal.
Sevilla To Beat Dortmund
While Dortmund may have a lethal finisher in Haaland, they may struggle for opportunities against one of the best defensive sides in Europe, especially on home soil.
Sevilla are currently on a run of 8 hours and 46 minutes without conceding a goal at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan despite playing the likes of Barcelona and Real Sociedad in that time.
They’ve won six of their last seven home matches to nil and have averaged 2.43 goals per game in that run, and with Dortmund’s current defending we’d be surprised if Sevilla didn’t manage at least a couple in this game.
The win to nil certainly appeals at the prices, though for all of Dortmund’s defensive frailties, they’re still excelling up top.
Only Bayern and Frankfurt have netted more goals than BVB this season, and with Jadon Sancho back in the goals with six in his last 10, we’re hesitant about the home clean sheet and we’ll stick with the home win at odds-against in what could be a high scoring affair.