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These two actually met in the inaugural Nations League, each winning their home games, though it was Scotland that topped their group in the end with a three-point lead over their visitors here.
They’ll be thoroughly familiar with each other soon enough given they have an additional European Championship play-off to contest next month, but Scotland look to hold the advantage heading into this one.
After a four-game losing streak against the clear top two in their Euro qualifying group home and away, Scotland scored a combined 11 goals in defeating San Marino, Cyprus and Kazakhstan over their last three fixtures.
Those might not be stellar opponents, but it was the first time Scotland have strung three consecutive victories together since October 2017 under Gordon Strachan.
Scotland are now an impressive W12-D3-L3 at home in competitive matches since October 2014, with those defeats coming against Belgium, Germany and Russia.
In fact, that includes seven wins from the last nine such games, despite the apathy that has followed the national team around in recent times.
Israel avoided any elite teams in their European qualifiers, with the best side Poland making light of the competition as they won eight of 10 games.
Andi Herzog’s charges at the time earned seven points from their opening three qualifiers, though following that positive start, a run of five defeats from seven matches has been unconvincing, especially considering the two exceptions both came on home turf. Despite the relatively weak competition, Israel ended up in fifth as only Latvia finished behind them.
The visitors also possess a woeful W4-D1-L13 record on the road since 2015 when including friendlies, as the victories came over weak outfits North Macedonia, Albania, Liechtenstein and Latvia.
In fact, seven of eight trips since 2018 have ended in defeat, as they conceded at least three times against each of Northern Ireland, Scotland, Poland, Slovenia and Austria, while they also suffered losses in Albania and North Macedonia.
Scotland To Beat Israel
Scotland’s past few outings have done enough to suggest they should have the firepower to breach a defence that has conceded so many goals on their travels.
Steve Clark will be without Oli McBurnie and Lawrence Shankland, two of five strikers selected in the initial squad, but those two only have one international goal between them in any case.
More importantly, veteran Steven Naismith was overlooked for selection with relegated Hearts having last played in March, Ryan Fraser is in a similar situation after ditching Bournemouth early, while West Brom’s Matt Phillips also misses out.
However, there is a call up for New Zealand-born Lyndon Dykes, who has registered two goals in three games for Livingston this season, while midfielder John McGinn has six goals across Scotland’s past three games.
Scotland To Beat Israel At 4/5
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