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Brighton v Forest
Roberto de Zerbi is now winless in his first three games after playing Liverpool, Tottenham and Brentford. A draw in his first game in charge at Anfield was something special and he got close against Tottenham after narrowly losing by a goal. Brighton have a relatively easy run over their next four games and they should look to pick up some crucial points in the coming weeks.
The Tricky Trees are winless since the 14th of August and there still seem to be no signs of this new look side starting to gel. Their goal difference over the last seven games has been -15 and with only five goals scored over this period, it’s easy to see what the issue is.
Their away games have been particularly poor this year, Forest have only scored one goal in their five winless road trips and have lost four of these games to-nil (2-0 v Newcastle, 1-1 v Everton, 6-0 v City, 4-0 v Leicester and 1-0 v Wolves). Although they don’t sit at the bottom of the table in terms of xG (in their away games), their measly 4.35 expected goals put them 15th in the away xG table. Brighton have won-to-nil in two of their games so far and have kept a clean sheet in additional games (0-0 v Newcastle).
BRIGHTON TO WIN TO NIL
Palace v Wolves
Palace struggled in their away game at Leicester, a match that was vastly dominated by the home team who had more possession, passes, pass accuracy, shots and shots on target. Despite being an away match and despite the balance of play, the Eagles will be disappointed that they couldn’t get three points against an out of form Leicester side.
Wolves managed their first win in four games at the weekend with a penalty from Ruben Neves being the only goal of the match. That spot kick was Wolves first goal since their 1-0 win over Southampton on the 3rd of September. The Wanderers have only scored one goal in their five away games and that will clearly need to change if they are to get a result at Selhurst Park.
The three away games that Wolves have played against opponents outside top six have resulted in D1-L2 for the Wanderers with their draw coming against a poor Bournemouth side. The two home losses that the Eagles have suffered came against Arsenal and Chelsea but beat Leeds 2-1 and Aston Villa 3-1, they also drew to Brentford 1-1.
Wolves look almost incapable of scoring on the road at the moment, while Palace have a strong record against bottom-six sides. Indeed, since the beginning of the 2019/20 season, the Eagles have gone W13-D6-L1 at home to bottom-six finishers as well as the current crop this season (2-1 vs Leeds & 3-1 vs Villa).
PALACE TO WIN
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