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Portugal may have left it late to beat Hungary as Raphael Guerreiro’s 84th-minute opener was followed by a late brace from Cristiano Ronaldo, but in truth they had been knocking at the door for a while and thoroughly deserved the points.
Ronaldo has made history with his 10th and 11th strikes at these finals, and will surely fancy his chances of adding to that tally against a German defence that has failed to convince in recent times.
Indeed, Die Mannschaft have managed just three clean sheets from 15 matches now, picked up against the Czech Republic, Iceland and Romania.
They’ve even conceded against the likes of North Macedonia and Latvia in 2021, losing to the former in a competitive outing, while a 6-0 defeat to Spain in November sent alarm bells ringing.
Germany may have prevented any of France’s stars from scoring, but a Mats Hummels own goal consigned them to an opening day defeat, and they can’t have too many complaints with France clearly the better team on the night. Karim Benzema saw a goal chalked off for offside, Paul Pogba should have scored a header, Adrian Rabiot hit the post and Kylian Mbappe came close, but the result leaves Germany with their first ever defeat on the opening day at a European Championship.
Joachim Low will step down from his position after this tournament having taken the job in the wake of Germany’s 2006 World Cup exit, but this is the weakest squad he’s had during his time at the helm and also the least settled, with his best team not exactly clear. He may well switch things up after an opening day defeat, but his bench is nowhere near as dependable as the one he enjoyed when guiding them to the 2014 World Cup.
Under 2.5 Goals
Although Germany’s defence comes under close scrutiny, it’s impossible to overlook the strong trend for low-scoring encounters when Portugal take on elite sides.
Since the start of Euro 2016, Portugal are a very even W2-D7-L2 versus the likes of Belgium, France, Italy, Netherlands and Spain, as nine of the 11 encounters featured a maximum of just one goal.
Branching out to include decent outfits Croatia, Poland, Mexico, Chile, Switzerland and Uruguay, they’re W7-D14-L3 over this period, as 16 out of 24 saw no more than two strikes.
Portugal and Germany To Draw
Portugal have only tasted defeat twice in 30 matches since the 2018 World Cup, while their sole loss from their last 16 came against France by a narrow 1-0 scoreline.
Portugal Draw No Bet
We can’t see Germany inflicting a bad result upon them here and Portugal look an excellent prospect draw no bet, but the consistency with which the defending champions have drawn these types of games would suggest a stalemate is in the offing.