It seems like an age since Man United last played the Premier League having had their last two games postponed, which is not what Eric Ten Haag would have wanted as his side were just looking to build some momentum.
The Red Devils have now won four on the bounce domestically having lost their opening two matches of the campaign, but it remains to be seen how they’ll fare here against the best side in the league here in what is a mammoth clash.
Man City sit second in the league, though still remain unbeaten with their only dropped points coming in draws against Newcastle and Aston Villa. They remain the top scorers in the league averaging 3.3 goals per game, while only Brighton (5) have conceded fewer than their six, and at this rate it’s hard to invisage a scenario where they don’t claim their fifth title in six years
The Manchester derby has been known to throw up a surprise every now and then, as despite City’s dominance over English football over the past half decade or so, their record in this clash going back to the beginning of 2015 reads just W9-D4-L8 across all competitions.
Despite United’s decent head-to-head record in this fixture, Pep Guardiola’s men did manage the double over their city rivals last season, with this particular fixture ending a convincing 4-1.
That win was only their second home win over the Red Devils in their last eight home meetings though, losing five of those clashes so this certainly isn’t a foregone conclusion, especially off the back of an international break where some shock results can be thrown up, and at the prices we’re inclined to steer clear of the 1x2 market on this occasion, especially with this the first meeting between these two managers.
Over 3.5 Goals
City are yet to test themselves against a top side this year, with Newcastle in the 10th the highest placed team they’ve faced. However, having scored 14 goals on home soil already this year, scoring at least four times in all three of their games at the Etihad doesn’t bode well for United, who have netted just twice in three games on the road so far.
Even with that away record, we’d be surprised if there weren’t goals here. Indeed, Man City saw an average of 3.84 goals per home game last year, the most from any side in the league, while that has been upped to 5.33 this season.
Four of their five home matches against fellow top-six sides last season saw over 3.5 goals land, with the exception coming against a relatively resolute Chelsea outfit.
In fact, while Guardiola has a relatively poor recent home record against top-six finishers of W7-D3-L5 over the past three seasons, his total 25 home matches against that bracket has seen an average of 3.72 goals per game, with 15 of 25 seeing over 3.5 goals land, and that looks the best bet here.
OVER 3.5 GOALS
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