After the epic clash between the top two title contenders last weekend, the Citizens remain at the top of the table and have an easier run-in than their rivals from Merseyside. Both teams competing for the title have progressed to the latter stages of the Champions League and it will be interesting to see how this will affect both sides' charge for Premier League silverware.
Over the past two gameweeks, Brighton have gone to both North London sides (Spurs and Arsenal) and beaten them on their own turf. It was a surprise to see them dismantle Arsenal in the way they did and then they did the same thing to Tottenham with Leandro Trossards 90th minute winner sealling the victory for the Seagulls.
Before their game against Arsenal, they had lost six out of their last seven games, though they’ll be full of confidence again after those two results.
Under 2.5 Goals
Brighton have only had two games all season where the outcome resulted in +4.5 goals (3-2 W v Everton, 4-1 L v Man City) and whilst we think that +4.5 goals may be a bit steep for this game, six of the last nine head-to-heads have resulted in +3.5 goals. In these previous nine fixtures, Manchester City have won all bar one, and the reigning champions managed a clean sheet on five occasions, including three out of four home games.
However, only Wolves have seen fewer goals per game than Brighton this season and only 25% of all their Premier League games have finished with +2.5 goals, even if we just use their games against top-four opponents we can see that there have only been two games from seven that have seen more than two goals scored.
Yves Bissouma is missing from this fixture after receiving his tenth yellow card of the season, his absence will be a huge blow for Brighton as he remains the anchor of their midfield and has the best ball progression out of anyone in their team as well as being defensively solid.
Ruben Dias is in line to reclaim his spot for the hosts after being out for the past few games, and that will only serve to sure up the Man City defense.
Manchester City have only scored 21 goals in their 11 games since the start of this calendar year and considering they scored 24 goals during the month of December alone there’s been a clear in their output this year.
There seems to be a good case developing for unders here, especially when you take into account that six out of the Citizens last ten games have finished with under 2.5 goals and ten out of Brighton's last 13 have had the same result.
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
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