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Jurgen Klopp bemoaned the lack of a proper stadium for his team’s performance in the first leg last week, so he’ll certainly be relieved that they got back to winning ways at Anfield over the weekend.
In truth though, they look to have left themselves slightly too much to do and will be needing a near perfect performance here to qualify for the semis, and an early goal could go a long way to achieving that.
Real Madrid have extended their current run to 11 wins from 13 unbeaten games across all competitions, doing so by achieving a massive win against bitter rivals Barcelona at the weekend to blow the La Liga title race wide open, with just two points separating the top three with eight games to go.
While this is the first time Liverpool have been in this situation, having lost 3-1 away from home in the opening leg of a Champions League knockout match, this will be Real’s fourth time being up by this scoreline heading into an away leg, and it’s unsurprising to see they’ve qualified on all three previous occasions.
Real Madrid To Win And Over 3.5 Goals
We’d expect this to be an open encounter, with the hosts needing to chase the tie and the likes of Andy Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold bombing it up the flanks.
That could either reap the rewards or leave masses of space to exploit in behind, so goals could very much be on the cards here.
Indeed, from the 12 previous occasions since 1999/00 that the home side has been 3-1 down after the first leg, there have been a total of 42 second leg goals at an average of 3.5 per game, while limiting that to the three times Real Madrid have been in this situation, there have been a total of 14 goals as the games tend to be more open, so an overs bet looks the smart play here.
Real Madrid To Beat Liverpool
Real have won the match in two of those three previous occasions, most recently beating PSG 2-1 and Napoli 3-1 in 2018 and 2017, respectively, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them win this either against a Liverpool side who, despite taking maximum points in the dying minutes at the weekend, have a relatively poor home record in 2021 with just a W2-D1-L6 record across all competitions.
Los Blancos are unbeaten in 11 away games now over 90 minutes, including three wins from their last four such outings so it’s surprising to see the hosts as odds on favourites here.