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Brighton secured a big three points at the weekend hosting a lacklustre Spurs, running out 1-0 winners, though in truth they could have won by a greater margin with Gareth Bale and Toby Alderweireld both making crucial interventions just off the line, while Pascal Gross hit the woodwork early on.
We wouldn’t expect the visitors to enjoy quite so many chances here at Anfield, even with Liverpool’s horrendous injury problems at the back.
In fact, five of Brighton’s last six league outings have seen a maximum of one goal, with just a total of three strikes across the past four.
That includes 1-0 defeats to both Arsenal and Man City, as things haven’t typically gone Brighton’s way when squaring off against real quality.
The Seagulls are still just W2-D2-L7 when facing top-half sides this term, despite that win over Spurs, with the other victory coming against Aston Villa rather than one of the league’s traditional big guns.
Both Teams To Score
Still, they did manage to net in eight of the 11 encounters, with both teams scoring in seven, and should fancy themselves of registering on the board against a depleted defence.
Indeed, all three meetings between Graham Potter and Jurgen Klopp have seen both teams find the net, as the Reds won both games last term and were held to a draw at the Amex in November.
Liverpool have enjoyed a big week as they’ve kept themselves in the title race with back-to-back 3-1 wins over current top-six outfits Tottenham and West Ham, but it was their third outing in a row without a clean sheet as they were previously downed 3-2 by Man Utd in the FA Cup.
The Reds have managed just three shutouts 13 appearances since early December now (W5-D5-L3), as even the likes of Midtjylland, Fulham, West Brom, Southampton, Villa’s Under 23’s and Burnley have all come away with a goal.
Klopp will be delighted that his team have recovered to ease some nerves, but it’s come at a cost as Joel Matip and Fabinho have joined long-term absentees Virgil van Dijk and Joe Gomez on the treatment table.
Fabinho is in line to return for the crunch clash with City next week, but Matip has ankle ligament damage and faces a couple of months out injured, leaving midfielder Jordan Henderson as Klopp’s most senior option at centre-back right now.
Liverpool are expected to bring in a centre-back on deadline day, but anyone who arrives won’t have much time on the training ground to gel with his new teammates as they prepare for this clash.
Graham Potter isn’t without injuries himself as a number of players remain sidelined, including Tariq Lamptey, Danny Welbeck and Alireza Jahanbakhsh, though these aren’t new absentees.
The Seagulls have lost just twice in nine league fixtures though (W2-D5-L2), and we wouldn’t want to back the home win at the prices.
Indeed, Liverpool are still missing Diogo Jota in attack, while Sadio Mane is missing on a short-term basis, so we’ll stick with both teams to score rather than coupling it with the home win.