Liverpool sit at the top of Group B following victories over AC Milan, Porto and Atletico and despite the difficulty of the teams in question, they’ve bagged 11 goals already and a minimum of three in every game.
Led by the heroics of Mo Salah, Jurgen Klopp’s side have been in sensational goalscoring form and have now netted at least twice in all but one of their 15 matches this season, as well as three or more in nine of 12 since the start of September.
Liverpool may come into this fixture having thrown away a two-goal lead hosting high-flying Brighton, but it still leaves them with 17 wins from 23 unbeaten games, as their last defeat came in the first leg of their quarter-final clash with Real Madrid back in early April.
They do however have a problem in midfield, with Naby Keita forced off owing to a hamstring complaint inside 20 minutes.
James Milner and Harvey Elliott are also ruled out here, while Fabinho and Tiago are both doubts, so Jordan Henderson, Curtis Jones and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain are expected to make up the midfield trio for this encounter.
Atletico picked up their first win in four appearances at the weekend as they took down Real Betis 3-0 on home turf, leapfrogging their opponents in the table as a consequence of that result.
However, with just four wins in 10 games now, Diego Simeone’s men aren’t firing on all cylinders and their usual defensive prowess hasn’t been on full display.
The weekend triumph saw them register just a second clean sheet in eight matches, with Liverpool, Real Sociedad and Levante all putting at least two goals past them since the October international break.
Moreover, Atletico have failed to register a clean sheet in any of their six away games this season.
Over 2.5 Goals
Atletico’s defeat to Liverpool last month came after Antoine Griezmann saw red early in the second half, with the scores locked at 2-2 at that stage, and his suspension should mean that Luis Suarez leads the line against his former employers.
Midfielders Marcos Llorente and Thomas Lemar are also unavailable, while Geoffrey Kondogbia is a minor doubt, but beyond that Diego Simeone has a strong squad to choose from.
Nine of Liverpool’s past 12 encounters with Spanish sides have seen at least three goals inside 90 minutes going back to May 2016, including four of five at Anfield.
In fact, seven of these games featured at least four goals, and with Liverpool in fine goalscoring form and Atletico looking more suspect defensively than usual, there could be plenty of chances in this one.
Liverpool To Win By 1 Goals
Although Liverpool deservedly start this encounter as favourites, it’s rare that Atletico are beaten by more than a single strike and four of their five defeats since January have come by a solitary goal, with the other a 2-0 loss at Chelsea as Emerson netted in the 94th minute.
Liverpool and Atletico also met in the 2019/20 knockouts, with both of those tussles and their recent meeting all settled by fine margins, so any victory will have to be earned the hard way.
OVER 2.5 GOALS
LIVERPOOL TO WIN BY 1 GOAL