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This is certainly not the kind of form Liverpool would have been hoping to carry into this game as since the group stage, things have gone incredibly downhill for Jurgen Klopp’s men.
Indeed, The Reds started this season strongly, losing just twice in 20 matches across all competitions when including their draw with Arsenal in the Community Shield, though since their draw with Midtjylland in the final group game they’ve gone just W5-D4-L6 across all competitions, including five defeats from their last seven matches.
Leipzig have maintained their title challenge and sit just four points behind leaders Bayern Munich, even if Hansi Flick’s side do have a game in hand.
They’ve still only lost three times in the league this season and did extremely well to qualify from a group that included both PSG and Man United in this competition, beating both of those sides at home in the process, so they’re more than capable of taking a lead into the second leg.
The big factor working against the German side in this leg however, is the fact that this game will be played in Budapest instead of the Red Bull Arena where Leipzig have an incredible record.
They’ve picked up five more points than any other side in the Bundesliga on home soil, winning 13 of their 15 such matches in all competitions, though their away form leaves a lot to be desired with just a W7-D4-L4 record on the road.
Leipzig To Beat Liverpool
Fortunately for Julian Nagelsmann, Liverpool’s away record is also poor, as they’d rank 10th if the Premier League were based exclusively on away results.
The Reds have won just four of their last 12 road trips, and even one of those came against Aston Villa’s youth team where they struggled for the first hour.
The neutral nature of this game though makes it extremely difficult to predict based on home or away form, though it’s the German side that certainly have the momentum.
Leipzig come into this off the back of four consecutive wins, and they’re not struggling for output as much as their opponents.
They’ve managed 13 goals from their most recent six games, with those goals coming from 10 different scorers as they tend not to rely on a single stream for output.
Mohammed Salah seems to be the only one with a goalscoring touch for Klopp’s men at the moment, as the Merseyside club have netted 10 times in eight games, with the Egyptian netting six of those, including four of the last five.
If Leipzig can concentrate on keeping Salah quiet, that will go a long way to taking an advantage into the second leg, so as underdogs they’re worth getting behind.
Leipzig To Beat Liverpool At 2/1
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 15/02/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
