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In a clash between who many view as the pretenders to the ‘Big Six’, the winner here can lay down a marker and should be considered a serious threat to those coveted top four slots.
The Foxes have recovered from a slight wobble to see off tough challenges in Arsenal and Leeds and now sit second in the table going into the weekend.
Wolves had a slow start to the season, losing two of their first three matches but have since won three of four unbeaten games as Nuno Espirito Santo begins to cope with the loss of Diogo Jota.
While Leicester have been extremely competitive under Brendan Rogers, their downfall last season was their record against top half sides like Wolves.
Since a 2-0 win over Arsenal almost a year ago to the day, they went on a run of W1-D3-L6 up against top half sides which ultimately cost them a place in the top four.
It’s unclear whether or not Rogers has fixed the issues that have led to that, though against the teams that would have fit that bracket last season (Burnley, Man City and Arsenal) they’ve won all three matches this season, so we’d take that record with a pinch of salt.
It’s now five wins on the bounce for the hosts in all competitions, though in reality only domestic opposition Arsenal and Leeds hold a candle to this Wolves side from that run, though a 4-0 win over Braga in midweek shouldn’t be overlooked.
After a few high scorers earlier on in the season, its normal service resumed for Wolves who regularly see tight and hard fought contests.
Indeed, Wolves have been in the bottom three in the league for average goals per game in each of their two seasons back in the Premier League, and currently sit 19th this season in that regard, only above Sheffield United.
Five of their matches this season have seen ‘Unders’ come in, including each of their last four. What’s more, there is yet to be a goal when these two managers have faced each other, with the two league meetings last season both finishing goalless. It’s therefore little surprise to see ‘Under 2.5’ goals at a very short price, and we’ll look elsewhere for our bet.
Half Time 0-0
Since the beginning of last season 67% of Leicester’s goals have come after the break, while that increases this season alone to 76% as they regularly pick up their game in the second half.
In fact, going back to the beginning of February they’ve only scored seven first half goals in 21 matches, while their visitors have failed to score in 17 of their last 23 first halves. Considering we’re expecting a low scorer in what promises to be a close contest, the half time result holds considerable weight.