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It’s been an incredible turnaround for Brighton recently as having won just once in a run of 18 matches, culminating in a 1-0 defeat away at Man City, they’ve now won four of their last six unbeaten matches, beating both Liverpool and Spurs in that run, so it’s no surprise that Graham Potter has been nominated for Manager of the Month for January, and his side look to be playing with a lot of confidence at the moment.
Leicester played out a dire 0-0 draw with Wolves, with Kasper Schmeichel’s last gasp save to deny Fabio Silva enough to earn them a point, though in truth they’ll see that result as points lost at Molineux and will be eager to bounce back here with a win.
Brenden Rogers’ will be looking to improve Leicester’s FA Cup form as they haven’t progressed further than the quarter-finals since 1982, though under Rogers their results have certainly improved.
They’ve won four of their last five FA Cup clashes, conceding just once in those wins with the defeat coming to Chelsea. However, it should be noted that all five of those victories came against lower league opposition, and up against Premier League opponents they have just a W1-D1-L4 record going back to their elimination in 2014/15 when including extra-time.
Brighton To Beat Leicester
That should give the Seagulls hope, and in truth they’ve been far better on the road under Potter than they have been at home, with a 9.7% increase in points per game when playing away in the league, while their cup form is relatively similar to the Foxes.
They’ve now won five of their last seven cup meetings including extra-time and penalties, though again, all five of those victories have come against lower league opposition, going W2-L2 against Premier League sides since their promotion to the top flight.
Jamie Vardy came off the bench and almost grabbed a winner at the weekend, and this is the perfect game to ease him back from injury.
We’d expect that to be one of a number of rotations for the Foxes considering their fixture list includes Liverpool at the weekend and a Europa League last-16 tie next week.
Potter’s side aren’t as cramped for time, and we’d expect them to field a near full strength side, and even if changes were to be made, the fringe players that have been given minutes so far, such as Percy Tau, have been extremely lively and looked capable of causing some damage.
This is the best form the visitors have been in under current management, and things look like their beginning to click so at a long price, we’ll get behind the underdog on this occasion.
Brighton to Beat Leicester At 3/1
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