Recent Form
Both teams go into this game having lost four out of their last five Premier League (PL) fixtures, with Leeds’ exception coming in a 3-3 draw against Aston Villa while Tottenham managed to beat leaders Man City 3-2.
Antonio Conte looks a frustrated figure at the helm, and took aim at the board after his side’s 1-0 defeat to Burnley on Wednesday night, and until results improve with some form of consistency, it looks like it could be a short stint in charge for the Italian.
Leeds have been woeful over the past couple of games and questions are now arising over Marcelo Bielsa’s competency, especially at the back. One of the weapons in Leeds’ arsenal is man-marking which other teams seldom do in open play, though this has proven to be a failing tactic in England’s top flight for a while now, and Leeds are certainly no flag bearer’s for it.
Unless Bielsa decides to adopt a new defensive approach, which history would suggest seems very unlikely, they can expect to continue conceding at this rate that currently has them pinned as the worst defence in the league, while against top four-sides alone they’ve managed to concede 28 times in just six outings.
It seems that Conte’s relationship with the board might have been a little strained due to the events that transpired in the January transfer window. Spurs had four players leave and two come in, with their struggles seeming evident in midfield.
Indeed, Dele Alli, Giovanni Lo Celso and Tanguy Ndombele were all players who predominantly operate in the midfield, and although none of the three were regular starters, they still made 15 PL starts between them and considering they only bought in one midfielder, Rodrigo Bentancur from Juventus, they could be in some real trouble if they pick up some injuries in the center of the park.
Spurs To Win And Over 2.5 Goals
The form of both sides leaves the 1x2 market very much in question, especially when considering there’s very little pattern in Spurs’ results against opposition type having beaten Man City before losing to Burnley.
Although this is a must-win game for Tottenham if they want to have any chance of Champions League football next season, more specifically it's a must-win for Conte who is currently the odds-on favourite to lose his job out of the other PL managers.
Leeds have been leaking goals recently with +3.5 goals markets coming off in nine out of their last 11 fixtures, but Tottenham have been susceptible to some low scoring games of late with three of their last five have resulted in -2.5 goals.
Given Leeds’ leaky defence though, it seems likely that Kane and Son will run riot at Elland Road this weekend, especially in the absence of Kalvin Phillips and Patrick Bamford for the hosts, so the Spurs result and overs market looks the value bet on this occasion.
PREDICTION:
SPURS TO WIN AND OVER 2.5 GOALS
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