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It’s been a rollercoaster few years for this Italy side who, having missed out on qualification for the 2018 World Cup in Russia, went on to win the Euros last year before again failing to qualify for the biggest tournament on the international stage.
A shock 1-0 defeat to North Macedonia ended those hopes, though they’re still reeling in the glory of that Wembley triumph by competing in the inaugural Finalissima against Copa America winners Argentina.
La Albiceleste are here having beaten Copa America favourites Brazil in the final after an unbeaten campaign. What’s more, that seven game run falls in the middle of their current 31 match unbeaten streak which began when losing in the semi-finals of the previous Copa in 2019.
While that run is mightily impressive, the COVID-19 pandemic very much limited the scope of sides that they could face, and the only team outside of the Americas in that run was a 2-2 draw with Germany back in 2019.
It’s noticeable, then, that Argentina actually have a poor recent record against the European elite, losing three of their last five winless matches against UEFA registered nations, with those defeats coming against France, Croatia and Spain as they conceded 13 goals across those outings, while the other draw coming 1-1 against Iceland.
Italy And Argentina To Draw
While Italy have been impressive in some regard over the last few years, for all of their success they’ve still won just four of their last 13 matches over 90 minutes, and while two of those wins came impressively over world number two side Belgium, the other two were over Austria and Lithuania, which is hardly worth writing home about and doesn’t exactly say a lot when they’re now about to face a side of Argentina’s calibre.
Previous head-to-heads go the way of the South American outfit, with them winning each of the last three. The most recent clash finished 2-0 in 2018, though Italy were a shell of themselves at the time and ranked 19th in the world, while the other two meetings came when they were both top-10 sides (as they are now) and ended by a closer 2-1 scoreline to Argentina, leading us to believe this will be another game of fine margins.
With this being played at Wembley, Italy will have fond memories after their Euros triumph there, though actually when looking for a winner over 90 minutes, Italy don’t have the best record in England having not won any of their last six outings going back to 2009 (D3-L3) despite playing the likes of Ivory coast, Nigeria and Ireland in that run.
We’ve seen a lot of finals separated by fine margins in recent months and with nothing really to split these two at the moment, the draw looks a great value bet over 90 minutes.
PREDICTION:
ITALY AND ARGENTINA TO DRAW
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