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Despite a complete squad overhaul in the summer, in which Inter lost the likes of Romelu Lukaku and Achraf Hakimi, and more notably manager Antonio Conte, it doesn’t seem as though output has taken too much of a hit in the early stages of this season as they’ve managed nine across their opening three fixtures, with those coming via seven different goalscorers.
Real Madrid have also had their summer hit by financial difficulties, with centre-back pairing Sergio Ramos and Rafael Varane departing the club and that looks likely to be the biggest hinderance to success for Los Blancos this year.
There’s very little to separate these sides and Inter are likely to be slight favourites owing to their home advantage, though in truth this could go either way, and its goals market that entices us on this occasion.
Indeed, over the last five seasons 68% of opening round Champions League fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals land, with an average of 3.04 goals per game in that time, and the rate that these two giants of the game are scoring at we’d be surprised if it didn’t follow suit.
Both Teams To Score
The Spanish outfit are La Liga’s top scorers from the opening four games this season with 13, four more than the next best side Valancia, though they’ve also conceded more goals than any other side in the top half of the table, with only bottom-five sides Cadiz, Granada, Celta Vigo and Alaves conceding more.
Inter have been slightly better defensively with just three goals conceded from three this year, though considering that has been up against Genoa, Verona, and Sampdoria, they should be much more solid at the back.
Lautaro Martinez and Edin Dzeko are exceptionally lethal strikers on their day, while not much needs to be said of the goalscoring prowess of Karim Benzema who netted his sixth Real Madrid hat-trick at the weekend, which all leads us to believe that we could be in for a high scoring fixture here.
There’s nothing to separate these two sides in regard to the head-to-heads either, with both currently W5-D1-L5 apiece, though on home soil Inter have a strong W4-D1-L1, with that only defeat coming in a behind closed doors fixture last year.
Ultimately, though, Real haven’t failed to score in any of their 10 group games in Italy since the turn of the century, averaging two goals per game in that time.
While and over 2.5 goals bet is enticing, it’s more important for both these sides not to suffer defeat at this early stage of the competition, and should the game be evenly poised deep into the second half, it’s hard to envisage either side risking defeat for a victory, leaving ‘both teams to score’ a stronger bet on this occasion.
PREDICTION:
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
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