It was a somewhat fortunate victory for Napoli at the weekend as they beat Sassuolo 2-0 after the visitors had four goals disallowed through VAR. On the whole, it wasn’t an impressive performance from Gennaro Guttuso’s men and they’ll need to improve on that if they’re to come away with anything in this one.
Only Roma and AC Milan have bettered Inter’s form across their last six matches (W3-D3), as only Fiorentina conceded fewer than their five goals in this time.
That form has seen them climb from fourth into second in the table and with Atalanta and Lazio trailing them by just one point as we head into the final two games of the campaign, with the former being their concluding fixture, this is an important game.
When these two met in the Coppa Italia at the start of the Covid return it ended in a 1-1 stalemate, though that was the second of the two legs after Napoli had won at the San Siro back in February.
The Sky Blues went on to win that cup competition by beating Juventus on penalties in the final last month and that no doubt means that domestically they have taken the foot off the gas.
A Europa League spot for next season is therefore guaranteed, and preparation for their second leg with Barcelona in the Champions League next weekend is now the main priority.
Over 2.5 Goals
Results against fellow top-seven sides in the league this term don’t make great reading for the away fans. Indeed, Napoli are a mere W2-D3-L5 from 10 outings, as seven saw ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ land, while they’ve lost four of five winless road trips.
By contrast, the Nerazzurri are a better W4-D3-L3 as only Juventus (twice) and Lazio could get the better of them, though both of those teams reside in the breakaway top four, while two of the three defeats came away from home.
It’s difficult to see how this fixture is going to go any other way than in favour of the hosts, as only Juve have lost fewer home matches than their two defeats this term, while they’ve won a respectable four of their last seven here as six of those saw a minimum of three goals.
Inter Milan To Beat Napoli
Napoli have gone W1-D1-L2 on the road this month, with that solitary victory coming by a single goal against 17th-placed Genoa, while they even lost to a Parma outfit in 14th place at the time.
Furthermore, it’s easy to forget that Antonio Conte’s team steamrolled the visitors 3-1 in their own backyard in January, which was perhaps Inter’s best performance under current management, so we would be very surprised if an unmotivated Napoli outfit come away with anything.