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A comprehensive display from Fulham at Cardiff City Stadium saw them ease past the Welsh outfit 2-0 in the opening leg and given them a serious stronghold on this tie.
Unfortunately for Scott Parkers’ men though, the away rule doesn’t count in these play-offs and so they’ll still need to bring their ‘A-game’ for this return fixture.
The Bluebirds will be disappointed with their performance on Monday night, but they won’t want to dwell on it as they still have a chance of reaching Wembley, even if it is that bit smaller now.
In fact, their recent record on the road is encouraging having won six of their eight trips since February, but only one of those came against a side inside the top eight of the table, and that was at this very stadium where they lost 2-0.
Fulham To Beat Cardiff
Taking a closer look at how they’ve fared away at top-seven sides they’re a poor W1-D1-L4, isn’t exactly encouraging and it could be another tough night for the Welsh faithful.
To make matters worse, the Cottagers have only been bettered at home this term by champions Leeds, with their 15 wins the joint best.
Five wins from their last six at Craven Cottage suggests that it isn’t just form from earlier in the season and given that included victories over top-nine sides Swansea, Preston and Cardiff themselves, they are certainly in the driving seat.
Since 2010, there have been two teams that finished above their opponent in the normal league season and won their opening away play-off leg more than a single goal, and interestingly the second leg has gone one of two ways.
When West Ham beat the Bluebirds in Wales in 2012, they went on to back that up with a 3-0 success just four days later in London, while Hull in 2016 secured a 3-0 result in Derby in the first leg and went on to lose 2-0 back at the KCOM Stadium.
However, with so few games to consider, if we just look at how teams have fared in the return fixture when winning the opener, we can see that they’re an unfavourable W5-D2-L6 back at their home stadium since the turn of the century.
Neeskens Kebano To Score Anytime
That includes both times teams have won exactly 2-0 (Hull City 2008 & West Ham 2012), where they went on to win 4-1 and 3-0 respectively and we just feel that could be a similar story in this one.
That looks worth pairing with Neeskens Kebano to get on the scoreboard four a fourth game in a row too. The attacking midfielder has netted four goals from his last three outings, including a brace against Sheffield Wednesday is his last here, and at the prices looks the value option.
Fulham To Beat Cardiff At 21/10
Neeskens Kebano To Score Anytime At 2/1
FULHAM V CARDIFF ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 28/7/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
