Senegal v Netherlands
Senegal will play their opening World Cup match against the Netherlands, but the Champions of Africa haven’t been in electric form since winning their first ever AFCON (W6-D3-L4). Key man Sadio Mane is out which puts the Lions at a severe disadvantage with Mane being the talisman in this Senegalese outfit.
Although the Netherlands do have quality players all over the pitch, Memphis Depay has been ruled out with a hamstring injury. The Barcelona man is their key figure going forward and with him being unavailable for selection means that Cody Gakpo, Vincent Janssen or Luuk de Jong will come into replace him.
Eight of Senegal’s last 13 games have finished with under 2.5 goals whilst only six of Netherlands last 15 have had the same result, because Netherlands are a European side they played a lot of matches against sub-par opponents so if we take the games against teams that are going to the World Cup we can see that of the eight matches played; three finished with unders, both teams scored in six and Netherlands also scored first in six.
The lack of Sadio Mane and Memphis Depay could mean that we are in for unders game but the stats tell us otherwise, because of this we are going to look somewhere else for our value. Senegal have scored at least once in 11 of their last 12, while the Netherlands don’t have the best recent defensive record having conceded in six of their last eight, though they haven’t drawn a blank themselves since facing the Czech Republic at the Euros, and BTTS looks the way forward here.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Wales v USA
Wales haven’t set foot at a World Cup since reaching the quarters in 1958, and they’ll be champing at the bit to get going here in what could be a deciding clash against the USA already. The Welsh have reached the knockouts in their last two major tournaments, and that experience on the big stage could give them the edge here against what is a youthful and energetic US side.
The Americans struggled through qualification, with defeats to Costa Rica and Canada compounded with a draw against Mexico, and while they easily dispatched of some of the weaker sides, their lack of efficiency against better teams doesn’t bode well for them here.
What’s more, while the USA are unbeaten in their last 26 games played on US soil, a run stretching back to a defeat to Mexico in 2019, their record overseas is a stark contrast.
Indeed, they’re winless in their last eight overseas matches now, despite facing the likes of Panama, Jamaica, El Salvador, and Saudi Arabia in that run, and on that basis, we can’t back them here.
Wales come into this off the back of three successive defeats, their worst run since 2012, though they all came by narrow one goal margins and were against the Netherlands, Belgium and Poland, all of whom carry more threat than this American side. The Dragons tend not to lose against sides that aren’t in some capacity elite, and a defeat here would be a shock, so it’s surprising to see them as underdogs, and we’ll back them draw no bet for a bit of cover this early on in the tournament.
WALES DRAW NO BET
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