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ENGLAND, BELGIUM AND ITALY ALL TO WIN AT 4/1
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An extremely impressive second half performance from England saw them take the full three points against the number one team in the world, Belgium.
The winner may have come from a deflected Mason Mount shot, but nonetheless they seriously stepped up their game to smother Romelu Lukaku of time on the ball and in doing so broke down the visitors’ momentum.
Of course, Belgium had their share of chances with Kevin De Bruyne pulling the strings in midfield, but some poor shooting from Yannick Carrasco meant Gareth Southgate’s men hung on.
Denmark put in a good display themselves when downing Iceland at the weekend, but they’ll be in for a much tougher task this week against the current group leaders.
However, the Danish outfit are an impressive W19-D18-L1 over 90 minutes when excluding non-FIFA friendlies, as well as a 3-0 defeat to Slovakia where their first team weren’t involved owing to a dispute with the Danish FA since October 2016.
That sole defeat came against Roberto Martinez’s Belgium outfit by a 2-0 scoreline, while having played all of Germany, Poland, Chile, Sweden, Mexico, Peru, France, Croatia, Switzerland, Iceland and England themselves over that period, we wouldn’t be surprised if this one was close.
Under 2.5 Goals
In fact, considering Denmark have seen fewer than three goals in 21 of 31 matches over the past three seasons when excluding those non-FIFA friendlies and that Slovakia game, as all their five games with the top sides they faced (Ireland (twice), England, Switzerland and Belgium) since June last year went under that mark.
In fact, they’ve conceded just three goals now from their 10 outings dating back to September last year and no doubt they’ll be extremely hard to break down.
Southgate’s men may be on a current run of 20 wins from their past 21 competitive home games, but the majority of those have come against much weaker opponents.
However, even against the better sides they’ve faced in Germany, Brazil, Italy, Costa Rica, Spain, Switzerland, USA, Croatia and Belgium on home turf since November 2017, only once have they conceded more than a single strike, coming against Spain over two years ago.
Furthermore, they kept their opposition out in five of those nine outings and saw a maximum of two goals in as many too, so we certainly like the look of the ‘Unders’ for this one.
Moreover, two of the goals at the weekend in the hosts’ tussle with Martinez’s men were through penalties and we wouldn’t expect to see a repeat of that. From open play both teams look like they’re struggling for ideas and although England may get the win, we feel it’ll only be by a fine low scoring margin.
ENGLAND V DENMARK ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 11/10/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
