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Leicester took victory in the FA Cup and this is another crucial encounter between themselves and Chelsea.
That’s especially the case after goalkeeper Alisson headed home a late winner for Liverpool against West Brom, meaning that should the Reds win their final fixtures versus Burnley and Crystal Palace, one of these two sides will miss out on a top-four spot.
Chelsea were denied in the FA Cup final by VAR and a pair of world class saves from Kasper Schmeichel, and will be gunning for immediate revenge.
However, a misfiring forward line has been the main source of frustration for Thomas Tuchel’s Chelsea, with the Blues now failing to score for two games running, and subsequently they’ve been involved in a lot of low-scoring affairs.
Under 2.5 Goals
23 of 27 matches under the German have now seen fewer than three goals, which includes nine of their past 10 appearances, while this trend has been even more pronounced when facing the best sides around.
Up against teams in the top half of the table domestically, as well as Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid and Porto in Europe, an astonishing 15 of 16 matches have witnessed a maximum of just two strikes.
In fact, 10 of these saw under 1.5 goals land, while at least one side or the other failed to score on 14 occasions.
Leicester’s hopes of a clean sheet have taken a blow, with experienced centre-back Jonny Evans rushed back for the FA Cup final and only lasting just over half an hour before being withdrawn.
Although they did ultimately keep Chelsea at bay, they’ve shut out their opponents just three times from 14 matches where he’s played a half or less this season in all competitions.
These came against West Brom, Brighton and Braga, as they also recently conceded four times against Newcastle in his absence.
Still, their performance on Saturday encourages us that they can keep things reasonably tight at the back here.
Their head-to-head record against Chelsea is also increasingly impressive and, having now won both tussles this term, are an impressive W3-D3-L1 in this matchup since 2018/19.
These encounters have also been low-scoring, with six of seven featuring fewer than three goals, while at least one team failed to score in four of these – including each of the past three.
The Foxes have now won five of their last seven fixtures, though other than beating a weakened Man Utd line-up and the FA Cup win over Chelsea, the other outings in this run all came against bottom-half sides.
Chelsea may have lost their last two encounters against Arsenal and Leicester, but they had beaten Real Madrid and Man City in their previous two games.
We’d therefore be wary of getting behind Leicester, who last won back-to-back matches in the league away from home in December.
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