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Bayern Munich v Salzburg
Bayern weren’t as dominant as they usually are in their most recent fixture against Leverkusen, a 1-1 draw at the Allianz Arena meaning that Dortmund will only be six points behind if they win their game in hand.
Thomas Muller’s first own goal of his career was Leverkusen’s only goal of the match, but both teams missed easy chances which could have turned the game on its head. After an unsuccessful trip to Salzburg in the earlier tie, they will be hoping to turn things around so they can progress into the latter stages of the Champions League.
Manuel Neuer has now missed the last five games in a row due to knee surgery, which means that Sven Ulreich has taken his place for the time being. This may be the most important factor in the tie due to Ulreich’s poor record since coming back into the team.
He’s played six games in total this season and has only kept one clean sheet, letting in nine goals across these appearances (1.5 goals conceded per game), including four against VfL Bochum. If we compare these stats to Neuer, who has played 26 games and conceded 22 goals (0.84 goals conceded per game), he’s conceded nearly twice the average of the usual number one.
Salzburg have only failed to score in three games in all competitions this season, and once in the Champions League over the course of seven games since the group stages. Bayern are known for scoring goals and are very likely to take the win here, but in the absence of their club captain and starting goalkeeper they look susceptible to conceding.
BAYERN TO WIN AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Liverpool v Inter Milan
Jurgen Klopp’s men squeezed out a 1-0 win in their latest outing against West Ham, keeping up the pressure on Man City even if they weren’t at their best. The Hammers will feel the scoreline was an unfair reflection of the balance of play, missing three big chances to get something from the contest.
Inter come into this game off the back of a 5-0 win against Salernitana, who are dead-last in the Serie A. Surprisingly, the Nerazzurri put out a full-strength team with no one being rested ahead of the most important game of their season. Their key man, Lautaro Martinez, played a full 90 minutes despite scoring three goals and completing his hat-trick in the 56th minute of play.
Inter have only played two competitive games in England across the last eight years and they lost both of them. One was a 2-1 loss to a stacked Southampton which included the likes of Virgil van Dijk, Dusan Tadic, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and long-time club servant James Ward-Prowse back in 2016, while the other was a 1-0 loss at White Hart Lane in the Champions League group stages back in the 18/19 season. Despite the lack of statistical data, it doesn’t look particularly good for the reigning champions of Italy.
Over the last couple of years, Liverpool have proved that Anfield is one of the hardest grounds to play at. The greatest comeback in Champions League history happened at Anfield a few years ago when Liverpool scored four unanswered goals against a great Barcelona team.
No team in the Premier League has won more points when playing at home this year than Liverpool, and they also have the most number of points from the last eight games, so they should prove an unstoppable force on Tuesday night.
LIVERPOOL TO WIN AND OVER 1.5 GOALS
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