Dortmund v Mainz
Mainz made a strong start to the campaign winning three of their first four outings, though they’ve now picked up just one point from their last nine available and it doesn’t get any easier here against Dortmund.
A win for BVB would see them temporarily go top of the table before Leverkusen and Bayern face off on Sunday, and we’d back them to do just that. They’ve won their last eight home league games stretching back into early April, winning 10 of their last 11 such outings across all competitions with the only exception coming against Bayern in the German Super Cup.
Seven of their eight outings since then have been separated by just the single goal either way, and it’s remarkable they’ve now gone 23 matches without a draw considering. We’d therefore expect this tricky Mainz side to keep it close, as they have done with their last two defeats coming by just the single strike, while Erling Haaland remains out for Dortmund and that will certainly have a negative impact on their potential output.
MAINZ +1.5 HANDICAP
Monchengladbach v Stuttgart
Monchengladbach have a tricky start to their season in terms of fixtures, facing all of Bayern, Dortmund, Leverkusen, and Wolfsburg from their seven outings so far. So it’s no surprise that they’re down in 10th for the time being and we’d expect them to start climbing the table from here.
Stuttgart’s three defeats so far this season have come against Bayer Leverkusen, Leipzig, and Freiburg, all of whom occupy places in the top half of the table at this stage and while Monchengladbach are outside that bracket as it stands, that’s only on goal difference and it’s a fair to treat them as a top-half outfit. Up against that bracket, Stuttgart have gone just W2-D1-L15 since the beginning of 2018/19 away from home, so it’s hard to see them mustering up a result here.
While the visitors won this fixture last year, with a lack of fan attendance we’ll look at that result as an anomaly, especially considering Gladbach took each of the previous four to nil across all competitions.
GLADBACH TO WIN
Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich
The highlight clash of the weekend comes between the top two in the table, with only goal difference separating Bayern and Leverkusen after the Champions suffered a shock defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt before the international break.
Bayern are still the team to beat in Germany, and that defeat came after a run of nine consecutive wins. Every team has a day off from time to time, so we’re inclined to see that as a blip and they should be right back to their best here. It won’t be easy against this Leverkusen side though who come into this off the back of seven wins from their last eight games and five on the bounce now, so the outcome is by no means a certainty.
Unsurprisingly, Bayern have had the better of this clash over the years, and as much so in recent times as they’ve gone W8-D2-L2 over the last six seasons, winning each of the last three clashes. These have often been high scoring affairs too with nine of the last 10 across all competitions seeing over 2.5 goals, while Leverkusen have netted at least once in each of their last six home clashes against the Bavarians in all competitions.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE