Brighton have had an extremely tough run of fixtures of late, facing Wolves, Arsenal, Leicester, Man United and Liverpool within their last six, and it’s not going to get any easier for them here.
The Seagulls missed a host of good opportunities when facing the Champions on Wednesday night and, despite a 3-1 defeat, showed why they deserve a lot of credit.
They picked up five points from those five matches and will be looking to remain competitive here to put some further distance between themselves and relegation.
Man City have been unforgiving on home soil lately, winning their four matches at the Etihad by an aggregate 17-0 since the break, though they turn into a completely different team when on the road.
Indeed, they’ve now lost four of their last five away games, including their last three.
While the first three of these defeats came against ‘Big Six’ opposition in Spurs, Man United and Chelsea, the latest 1-0 defeat to the Saints will have definitely raised some eyebrows.
This would usually be a routine victory for Guardiola’s men, though with their recent record coupled with the fact that they have absolutely nothing to play for, they’re an extremely short price.
Both Teams To Score
There’s much better value surrounding the goals markets and both teams to score in particular. Graham Potter’s men netted in defeat when hosting the Reds in their last outing and will be slightly perplexed at how they didn’t come away with at least two, with Leandro Trossard, Neal Maupay and Dan Burn all squandering golden opportunities.
City have only managed two goals in their last five road trips, though with Brighton only keeping three home clean sheets all season, with two coming against the league’s bottom two clubs and the other against an out of sorts Mauricio Pochettino Spurs side, we can definitely see the Citizens grabbing a goal here.
Leo Trossard To Score Anytime
We wouldn’t expect to see Sergio Aguero again at any point this season, with the Argentine in a race to be fit for the Champions League in mid-August, and Gabriel Jesus seems to have found his shooting boots again after a complete performance against Newcastle.
13 of his 19 goals this season across all competitions have come away from home, though at such a short price and with City far from prolific at the moment on the road, there’s a Seagull’s player that takes our fancy instead.
Trossard has scored in both of his last two games and, alongside full-back Tariq Lamptey, was Brighton’s standout player in their game against Liverpool.
The Belgian winger has looked increasingly dangerous as the season’s gone on and at the prices, looks well worth a flutter to continue his run of form.