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Following impressive 5-2 and 3-0 victories over Chelsea and Southampton respectively, West Brom’s already slim survival hopes were dealt a major blow on Thursday as they were soundly beaten 3-0 by Leicester at the King Power.
That leaves them nine points adrift of 17th-placed Burnley, with just six games to go, and they need to pick up points fast if they’re to stand any chance of avoiding the drop.
Aston Villa would at first glance appear to be the kind of team the Baggies may fancy their chances of getting something from.
Dean Smith’s side have picked up just the single win in seven appearances, as they’re struggling to replicate performances from earlier in the campaign and have slipped down into the bottom half of the table.
The notable reason for Villa’s downturn in form has been the absence of talisman Jack Grealish, as they’re just W2-D2-L5 since the England international picked up an injury.
However, it’s worth noting that four of those defeats came against top outfits Leicester, Spurs, Liverpool and Man City, while four of the five losses came by a one-goal margin.
In fact, nine of Villa’s past 11 defeats in all competitions have come against teams occupying a top-seven spot, so it’s difficult to see a demoralized West Brom outfit taking the spoils here.
Excluding results against those sides, Villa are W8-D4-L2 since December, with just one defeat from the past eight of these.
On home turf alone, they won four of six unbeaten games over this period, so are understandably odds-on to extract maximum points from this fixture.
Under 2.5 Goals
When ignoring those results against the top seven, Villa have seen fewer than three goals in seven of eight appearances, and just one strike or none at all in five of them.
The absence of Grealish was bound to impact their output, and excluding the same bracket of teams, five of the Baggies’ past six have also seen a maximum of one strike, so we wouldn’t anticipate a high-scoring encounter here.
Aston Villa To Win 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 Multibet
Away from home, West Brom are W2-D4-L10 this season, as they conceded at least twice in 10 of these games overall.
Eight of those defeats finished 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1, while home or away, four of their five defeats since February have finished by one of those same scorelines. With that in mind, the multibet appears to cover the most likely outcomes.