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VILLA TO WIN AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE AT 11/4
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Aston Villa are on a roll having won each of their four games to date, while across all competitions they’re now a highly impressive W8-D2-L1 since mid-July stretching back into last season.
Their last two outings have seen them deservedly down Liverpool (7-2) and Leicester (1-0), so at odds against are a tempting price for all three points on home turf.
Leeds are certainly no pushovers however and although they’ve only taken one point from encounters with top-half outfits Liverpool, Man City and Wolves, they’ve won their other clashes with the current bottom two sides, Fulham and Sheffield Utd.
None of their games have been settled by more than one strike by either team though, so we’d be surprised if this one isn’t also decided by fine margins.
Aston Villa To Beat Leeds
Last term, Dean Smith’s side were heavily reliant upon captain and local boy Jack Grealish for attacking impetus, but the England midfielder now enjoys a better support cast following the signings of Ollie Watkins and Ross Barkley.
However, the most remarkable feature of Villa’s upturn in fortunes has to be at the back, with summer signing Emiliano Martinez impressing between the sticks and the partnership between centre-backs Tyrone Mings and Ezri Konsa looking solid.
Indeed, the turnaround is made all the more startling by the fact that only rock-bottom Norwich shipped more goals than Villa last season.
However, going into the back end of last term, they’ve now registered five clean sheets in eight league matches, with Liverpool the only side to put more than a single goal past them in that humiliating defeat.
Under 2.5 Goals
Given 10 of Villa’s 14 games since the restart in June have featured fewer than three goals, as all but one of the exceptions came against high-quality opposition in Chelsea, Man Utd and Liverpool, that market commands a particular interest here.
In fact, the other occasion saw them put three goals without reply past a Fulham side that have shipped goals left, right and centre as they look out of their depth at this level.
Leeds under Marcelo Bielsa initially looked set to thrill at every turn, especially after their opening two games saw them go down 4-3 to Jurgen Klopp’s men and then beat the Cottagers by the same scoreline.
However, with just four goals across their last three outings in total, under 2.5 goals has to come into play, which has actually landed in five of six head to heads between these two since 2016/17.
0.5pts: Aston Villa To Win At 13/10
ASTON VILLA V LEEDS ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 21/10/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
