A huge clash at the top of the table sees league leaders Arsenal look to extend the gap over Man City, though in order to do so they’ll need to beat the only side that’s managed to get the better of them this season in Man United.
The Red Devils have had a quick turnaround from their midweek clash with Crystal Palace, where Michael Olise’s late free-kick rules out Bruno Fernandes’ opener. It was a blow to Erik Ten Hag’s side who are looking to string together some wins and get themselves into a title race, though defeat here would leave them 11 points adrift and they can ill afford a slip up.
Arsenal are in great spirits after their derby day win away at Spurs last weekend. It could be argued that Spurs were poor, though Arsenal were relentless in their pursuit of the points and we’d expect a similarly strong performance here.
In terms of form, there’s very little to split these two and while Arsenal have been electric on home soil, dropping just two points all season, we’re reluctant to get behind them against a United side that have proven dangerous against the big sides, beating all of Man City, Spurs, Liverpool and Arsenal themselves this season. It’s true all those victories came at Old Trafford, though at an odds on price it’s a big risk getting behind the hosts.
Under 2.5 Goals
We’re more inclined to back an unders result here. Both sides have exceptional defensive records of late, with Arsenal keeping five clean sheets in their last seven outings, while United haven’t conceded more than once in a match in any of their last 12 games. With the attacking talent on display in the form of Bukayo Saka, Marcus Rashford, Bruno Fernandes and Gabriel Martinelli, it’s easy to think there will be goals aplenty in this fixture, though games between big sides often fail to deliver on that promise.
The last three meetings between these sides have seen overs land, though the five prior to that all saw a maximum of two strikes. A draw wouldn’t be the worst result for either side here either, so if the scores are level heading into the latter stages, it’s likely both managers would settle for a point from this. We’re expecting a tight, tactical encounter and that often means chances are few and far between, and on that basis we’re happy to get behind that unders bet at a good price.
What’s more, Casemiro is unavailable for the visitors, and while his defensive work is outstanding, he also regularly sets his side on the attack. His presence will be a cause for concern for Ten Hag, who will likely now want to shore up defensively and close the game off as much as possible.
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
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