Gerwyn Price v Jonny Clayton
The Iceman came up trumps last week as he managed to get his second win of the tournament so far, Price has been to the finals twice and he has won both once again proving that he really does have “ice in the veins”.
Clayton was narrowly beaten by Michael Smith last week (6-5) but the current league leader wont let that get the best of him as he looks to maintain that position going into the penultimate week of the round-robin format.
Despite these two progressing past the first round on multiple occasions, they have only played each other once through the first 14 weeks of play. Clayton was the eventual winner in an 11 leg thriller. The Ferret had 3 100+ checkouts in the previous matchup (16.6% of his total 100+ checkouts this year) which was the defining factor in him getting the win there.
Price has hit a surprisingly low number of 180s this season, with only 40 to his name in the 21 matches he has played. To add to this, he managed to hit 12 180s in Week 3 which means he hit 30% of his total in one of the 14 weeks played so far. The Ferret has hit over twice as many 180s (83) as his opponent despite only playing 9 matches more than him.
CLAYTON MOST 180'S
Michael Smith v Michael van Gerwen
Michael Smith got to the semi-finals for the second week running but in both matches was bested by his current opponent (6-5, 6-5).
MVG is looking for the top spot in the league after getting to two consecutive finals, he is currently only three points behind the leader, Jonny Clayton and will look to reduce that gap with a strong finish here.
These two have already played each other five times over the duration of this tournament but Bully Boy is yet to get a result in his favour losing all five matches between the pair. Smith lost 6-5 on three occasions and lost the other two with a 6-2 and 6-4 scoreline.
Considering four out of the five games between the two finished with over 9.5 legs and that MVG has had 50% of his games finish with a winning bet you could definitely find value in this market however the bookies seem to have reduced odds currently but at 1.90+ seems like a good bet.
The best bet for this game is going to MVG to win, he is being undervalued when you take into account he has been to the finals the two last weeks in a row and also is yet to lose to Smith despite playing five games against him already. If you wanted something with longer odds Gerwen to win 6-5 could reap some reward.
MVG TO WIN
MVG 6-5 (0.5u)
James Wade v Peter Wright
The third and fourth seed face off against each other in what is set to be a close-fought affair. The two have already played each other three times with Wright coming out on top with two wins and a loss in the head to head matchup. Wade currently sits five points ahead of Wright with only two weeks left to go it will be a hard ask for Snakebite to make up the gap but is definitely doable.
James Wade has the lowest average number of 180s hit in a game out of the seven other players in the league, he has hit 43 maximums in 26 matches over the course of the 14 weeks prior (1.65 per match). The Machine has also only had four matches where he has hit more maximums than his opponents (15%) which is again the lowest percentage score out of anyone in the league.
Peter “Snakebite” Wright has had more success in the 180 department than his opponent with 64 to his name in 24 matches which brings his 180 average to 2.67, you can see that there is a difference of 1.02 in Wright's favour. He has also managed to hit more 180s in 8 out of his 24 games which is double the total that Wade had despite playing two games less.
WRIGHT MOST 180'S
Joe Cullen v Gary Anderson
Joe “The RockStar” Cullen was handed a bye in last weeks competition after James Wade fell ill and wasn’t able to compete in the event. Cullen went on to lose to the eventual week winner, Gerwyn Price, by a margin of 3 legs.
Anderson hasn’t been at his best all year, he has only managed to win five of his 17 matches and has been seriously lacking in composure and confidence in his own game. Out of his 12 losses, only three have been lost by a single leg and the other nine were by a two-leg margin or more.
Despite Cullen only being two places ahead of Anderson in the rankings, they share the same number of week wins (1) but Cullen has got to the final an additional time whereas Anderson got to the final round once and won it. The only time these two have faced off was back in week 7 when Cullen got the best of Anderson winning 6-5.
Anderson has only progressed out the first round once in the last eight weeks (one of which was a bye) and just hasn’t been able to live up to his former self. He has lost 6-5 on two occasions but the rest were by a margin of 2+.
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